NFL Betting Preview
Miami Dolphins (10-5) at New York Jets (9-6)
Sunday, 4:15PM Eastern
Bookmaker.com betting line – Jets -3, 42.5 over/under
The AFC playoff picture is still up for grabs and the most important game to decide that outcome with take place in East Rutherford, NJ this weekend. The Miami Dolphins are in a first place tie with the New England Patriots in the AFC East. The New York Jets are one game back and need a victory and some help to make the playoffs. This game will be a battle between two teams who will be expected to bring the best effort in attempt to gain a chance at postseason play. The Jets won the first meeting this season 20-14 in Miami in Brett Farve debut as the New York quarterback. This game will be much different as they will take on a hot Miami team that has won 4 straight games and 8 of their last 9.
Miami controls their own destiny and simply needs to put away the Jets to seal themselves into the playoffs. A Dolphins loss would officially eliminate Miami from the playoffs. However, considering the Dolphins run of late they may be a dangerous team if they can get in. Miami has been in some grudge matches this year on the gridiron. In the Dolphins 10 wins this season, 8 of those wins have been by 10 points or less. Dolphins QB Chad Pennington has really been the turning point for the franchise. Last year the Dolphins had one of the worse seasons of any team in history only winning one ball game. This season they are primed to make one of the biggest turnarounds in history. Pennington has been a big part of the success becoming a lethal offensive threat. Pennington has thrown for 3,453 yards this season while completing 67% of his passes for a total of 17 touchdowns. Pennington looks to be a big threat against a weak New York secondary that is allowing over 237 yards per game through the air.
New York put together a mid-season run that made them look like one of the best teams in the NFL yet along the AFC. The Jets won a total of 7 out of 8 games in that stretch with some very quality wins. However, in recent weeks the Jets have really struggled losing 3 of their last 4. In those 3 losses, the Jets are averaging 11 points per game. The offense that was so strong early this season has vanished and the Jets need locate their weapons once again. Brett Farve has had a big year wearing the Jets uniform. Farve has thrown for 21 touchdowns and over 3000 yards. However, New York has found its main success this season behind the legs of running back Thomas Jones. Jones has amassed 1,289 yards this season along with 13 touchdowns. Jones will play a big part in the Jets success this weekend in cold conditions. Jones has not rushed over 78 yards in the last 3 weeks. Earlier in the year the star back was picking up nearly 100 yards every time out. New York needs to get their running game back and allow Jones to open up the struggling offense.
What to watch for…
The Jets out rushed the Dolphins 122 – 49 in their first meeting and the running game could likely tell the story again. Running backs Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams have come on strong for the Dolphins in the latter part of the year. The Miami running game could be the difference this time around. Also, the big play ability of both quarterbacks will be fun to watch. Brett Farve and Chad Pennington can trigger some big plays for their teams and it will be interesting to see which quarterback is more effective.
New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins Pick – Only 34 points scored last game. Jets offense struggling and cold conditions mean another low scoring affair. Take the Under 42