Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets: NBA Free Pick
(30-10, 20-20 ATS)
(21-16, 13-21-3 ATS)
The Heat allowed 44 points last night in the first quarter against the Los Angeles Clippers and were just never really able to get back on their feet from that point forward. This was also to be expected though at some point, and for those of us basketball betting fanatics, the loss to the Clip Joint wasn’t the worst thing in the world. This has been a long, long road trip that has featured two OT games and the loss to LA, and now, Miami has to deal with this up tempo offense for the Nuggs. The good news is that the defense, save obviously in that first quarter against the Clippers last night, has been fantastic for the year. Teams are only averaging 92.7 points per game against Miami, and when you have a team that is just chock full of superstars, playing ‘D’ like this is all the more devastating. Your latest update of the trio of studs in South Beach… LeBron James is averaging 25.4 PPG, Dwyane Wade is averaging 25.1 PPG, and Chris Bosh is at 18.6 PPG on the season, and the three are clearly still making up the most dominating threesome in the league.
Betting on basketball with Denver is always a scary proposition right now, because you never know when the plug is going to be pulled and Carmelo Anthony and a host of others could be shipped out of town. You just know the day that this deal does happen (and the deal is clearly inevitable, mind you), that the Nuggets are going to end up getting blown away by at least 20 points. The spread in this game would jump up to Miami -15 at bare minimum if the trade were to go down on Thursday. For now though, this is still a Denver team that can definitely score with the best of them, as it is averaging 106.3 points per game this year. ‘Melo is averaging 23.9 points per game, and though he really hasn’t been the playing with his whole heart for the Nuggets, he is still putting up some fantastic numbers. Chauncey Billups is finally shooting over 40 percent for the season from the floor, and he has parlayed that into 16.5 points per game. There are four others that are all averaging at least ten on the board per night, and these are the types of players that really need to step up for Head Coach George Karl and company to pull off this upset.
Stop drinking the Miami Kool-Aid! The Nuggs are 16-4 at home this year, and they are notoriously one of the best home teams in the league. Unless all of a sudden, you hear news about Anthony sitting this one out, you’ve got to back the hosts as dogs.
NBA Free Pick: Denver Nuggets +4
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