January 16, 2013

Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors Pick

NBA Picks

Preview


Miami Heat
vs.
Golden State Warriors

Date/Time: Wednesday, Jan.16, 10:30 p.m. (ET)

Television: ESPN

Basketball Odds from VietBet

Point Spread: Miami -1.5

Total: 205

 

NBA Betting Trends

Miami Heat

  • Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami’s last 11 games when playing Golden State
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
  • Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
  • Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Golden State

Golden State Warriors

  • Golden State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State’s last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
  • Golden State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
  • Golden State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State’s last 11 games when playing Miami

 

NBA Pick/Preview

The road has not been kind to the Heat this season with an 8-9 straight-up record overall and a 1-3 record four games into their current six-game road trip. Monday night’s 104-97 loss to Utah as 2.5-point road favorites dropped Miami to 24-12 SU and 17-19 against the spread. The total went OVER the 198-point line in that game and it has now gone OVER in its last two games.

Monday’s loss not only pushed the Heat below .500 on the road it may have pushed a wedge between head coach Erik Spoelstra and two-thirds of the Big Three. While LeBron James pumped-in 32 points in a furious comeback attempt, both Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh found themselves riding the bench in the fourth quarter with no real explanation afterwards from the coach.

This season has gotten off to an unexpected 23-13 SU start for Golden State after winning just 23 games all last year. They come into this matchup with just one win in their last four games, but the Warriors return home where they are 12-5 SU (10-7 ATS) and have won six of their last eight games at Oracle Arena. They are 20-15-1 ATS overall and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five outings.

This is a youthful squad led by Stephen Curry and David Lee. Curry leads the Warriors in scoring (20.5), assists (6.6) and steals (1.6) while Lee is chipping-in another 19.9 points and a team-high 10.9 rebounds a game. Golden State has also been able to spread the ball around with four other players averaging at least nine points a game. It is ranked ninth in the NBA in scoring with 101.1 points and fifth in rebounds with 45.2 a game. The only glaring weakness at times has been a defense that is giving-up 99.4 points a game.

Prediction
The Warriors have already beaten Miami this season with a 97-95 road victory in mid-December as 8.5-point underdogs and would love nothing better than pulling-off the season-sweep over the defending champs. While James might find himself focused on scoring more than 18 points to eclipse the 20,000 point plateau, Golden State will remain focused on adding to the Heats’ misery on the road. Golden State 103 Miami 102

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Cole Ryan

Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.

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