(7-4, 3-8 ATS)
Ohio State Buckeyes
(10-1, 8-2-1 ATS)
Bragging rights between the states of Michigan and Ohio will be on the line on Saturday afternoon in the Horseshoe, as the Ohio State Buckeyes look to continue being a dominant team both at home and in this series in a college football betting bash with the Michigan Wolverines.
Michigan already knows that it is safe for a bowl game, as the Big Ten is just barely going to fill its allotment of bowl teams. The good news for Big Blue is that an upset will get them moving up the bowl ladder in a hurry, and they might be able to sneak into one of the big time games that the conference has a tie in to. The bad news is that a loss will probably keep it at a second tier bowl game. However, HC Rich Rodriguez knows that at some point, he has to beat Ohio State to keep his job. This isn’t a do or die for him by any means, but winning this game would probably earn him some more free time. QB Denard Robinson has fallen off just a tad, but he can probably still become a Heisman Trophy finalist if he upsets Ohio State on Saturday afternoon. Robinson is the nation’s leading rusher at 1,538 yards, and he has 14 TDs to show for his work on the ground. Through the air is where things have really dropped, as he is only at 2,229 yards with 16 scores and 10 picks. Still, guiding the No. 5 offense in America at 514.5 yards per game is still a very impressive feat for Robinson to stake claim to.
Ohio State has a man that is trying to become a Heisman Trophy finalist in his own right in QB Terrelle Pryor. Pryor has done everything right this season, but the fact that his Buckeyes were really beaten down by the pollsters and the computers for that one loss at the Wisconsin Badgers has killed him. Pryor has thrown for 2,331 yards and 23 TDs in just 11 games this year, and he has rushed for 590 more yards and four scores. The offense has held its own, averaging 446.2 yards per game and 39.6 points per game to be amongst the best in the Big Ten. So far this year, the Buckeyes are a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS on their home turf, the only team in the country that can say that. Defensively, things have just been flat out amazing. The Bucks are giving up just 241.1 yards per game and 13.9 points per game, and there is no one doubting that this is the best ‘D’ in the Big Ten. A win would lock in a Top 10 ranking for OSU at season’s end, and the more impressive the victory, the more likely that it will snare a bid to the BCS as an at large team if the Rose Bowl cannot be achieved.
OSU needs to win this game and win it in a huge way to impress the human voters and the computers to have any chance of winning the Big Ten. There is probably too much ground to make up to reach Pasadena again unless Wisconsin loses this weekend, but in the event that that doesn’t happen, don’t be shocked to see the Orange Bowl or the Sugar Bowl snatch these guys up. It’s going to take a big time ‘W’, and that’s exactly what the Buckeyes are going to provide to finish a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS at home.
College Football Free Pick: Ohio State Buckeyes -16.5