Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers NBA Betting Prediction

timberwolves lakers nba picksNBA Odds: Timberwolves (even)

The Minnesota Timberwolves welcome the Los Angeles Lakers to the Target Center. Action begins at 8:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Mar. 25 and can be seen on TWC SN and FSN-N.

The Timberwolves played well in their last game, edging the Jazz 106-104 on Monday. Andrew Wiggins played a pivotal role with 22 points, seven rebounds, and two steals. The Lakers, meanwhile, are coming off a 101-87 win against the 76ers on Sunday. Jeremy Lin was the game’s top scorer, accounting for 29 points on 10-for-16 shooting.

The physical Timberwolves offense might be getting to the charity stripe a lot in this one. They rank fourth in the league at getting to the line (free throw attempt rate of 30.1), while Los Angeles is among the NBA’s most foul-prone teams (giving up a 27th-ranked free throw attempt rate of 30.8).

Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Lakers had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 100-94 win. Carlos Boozer put up 22 points and 13 rebounds.

The odds for Minnesota and Los Angeles are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable as of now. The Timberwolves have gone 16-54 Straight Up (SU) and 30-38-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 7-35 SU and 19-21-2 ATS against the Western Conference. The Timberwolves are one of the best in the NBA in terms of free throws made, making an impressive 19.4 per game.

Over on the other bench, the Lakers have a record of 34-32-2 ATS and 18-50 SU. Los Angeles has a poor SU record over the last 10 games (2-8), but have an 8-2 record ATS. The Lakers average 104.5 points allowed per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 95.3 points per game during that span.

In their previous meeting this season, Los Angeles beat Minnesota, bumping its SU record over the last 10 meetings to 6-4. The teams are even ATS, with a 5-5 record. In these last 10 matchups, each team was able to hold the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers one time.

Predictions: SU Winner – LAL, ATS Winner – LAL

Notes

Minnesota scores an average of 97.9 points per game (ranked 21st). Los Angeles ranks 28th in points allowed per game with 104.5.

On average, Minnesota puts up 97.5 points per home game (ranked 24th). Los Angeles ranks 28th in points allowed per road game with 106.5.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are an even 8-8 when they keep their opponents to fewer than 100 points. The Los Angeles Lakers have an abysmal record of 4-30 this season when they don’t reach the century mark.

At 8-46, the Minnesota Timberwolves have a subpar record when their opponents score at least 100 points. The Los Angeles Lakers are 14-20 when they put up triple digits.

The Lakers have a defensive rating of 106.6 (ranked 28th). The Timberwolves rank 26th for their offensive rating of 99.9.

With 97.9 possessions and .999 points per possession, the Minnesota Timberwolves perform worse on both metrics than the Los Angeles Lakers. Los Angeles averages 98.0 possessions and 1.006 points per possession.

Minnesota has an average effective field goal percentage of 46.7%. Los Angeles is a subpar 9-44 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank 20th with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.53. The Los Angeles Lakers have a higher A/TO (1.65), ranking 14th.

The Timberwolves rank 25th in rebounds per game with 41.7, while the Lakers rank ninth with 44.3 per game.

The Los Angeles Lakers rank ninth in offensive rebounding, while the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 30th in defensive rebounding.

Minnesota is one of the top teams in forced turnovers, with opponents averaging a TOV% of 15.1% (ranked ninth). Los Angeles has an underachieving record of 2-14 SU this season when its TOV% reaches 15.1% or greater.

Aaron Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.