John Danks (0-2, 6.97 ERA) and Trevor Bauer (2-0, 1.50 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Chicago White Sox (4-7) and the Cleveland Indians (4-7) at U.S. Cellular Field. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Apr. 20 and can be seen on STO and WPWR.
Danks is 5-12 with a 5.19 ERA in his appearances against the Indians, but goes up against a below-average Cleveland offense which is batting just .221 this season. Adam LaRoche (.243, 8 Rs, 3 HRs, 8 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Bauer is 2-0 and started his season with nine no-hit innings. He is up against a below-average Chicago offense that’s batting just .238. Carlos Santana (.244, 5 Rs, 2 HRs, 7 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Chicago is a slim -110 favorite at home against Cleveland. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs for this matchup. Though the White Sox have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-193), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 2-1.
In games where it is the underdog, Cleveland has a 2-2 record and an overall money line of -338. They are 1-1 as the underdog against AL Central foes, and 2-5 SU. Offensively, the Indians have really picked up the pace in division games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.3 runs per game by averaging 3.7 in those contests. Cleveland’s pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an AL-low 1.60 ERA on the road. The Indians have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 12.0 strikeouts per road game.
The White Sox have a 4-3 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Carrasco takes the mound.
Predictions: SU Winner – CWS, O/U – Over
The White Sox and Indians both hold losing records against teams in the AL Central. The White Sox sit at 4-7 in these matchups and the Indians have a 2-6 record.
In extra innings, the Indians are 0-1.
The Indians are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The White Sox have a record of 2-2 when opponents’ pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Indians are 4-1. The White Sox have a 4-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Chicago and Cleveland both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Chicago sits at 23rd with 38 runs this season and Cleveland ranks 27th with 35.
Chicago and Cleveland both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Chicago sits at 26th with 24 this season and Cleveland ranks 21st with 30.
When the White Sox hit at least one home run, they are 4-3. When the Indians hit at least one homer, they have a 3-2 record.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.