MLB Betting Pick – Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
The Philadelphia Phillies will try and snap a two-game skid when they take on the Cincinnati Reds tonight in the first of a four-game series at the Great American Ballpark. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.
Philadelphia had the weekend off after Hurricane Irene wiped out a Saturday double-header with Florida. It is coming off back-to-back losses to the Mets and the Marlins this past Thursday and Friday and is now just six games ahead of Atlanta in the NL East with a record of 83-46. The Phillies are 46-22 at home this season and 37-24 on the road.
Despite going 5-5 in its last 10 games, the Phillies lineup continues to hit the ball well with an average of 5.6 runs a game over that span. This is well above their season average of 4.53 runs a game. Ryan Howard has done most of the damage with a team-high 99 RBI and 27 home runs.
Philadelphia will send Cole Hamels to the mound in this one. He has missed his last few starts with inflammation in his throwing shoulder, but is expected to be ready to go with the extra rest. Hamels is 13-7 on the year with a 2.62 ERA. He is a perfect 7-0 against the Reds with an ERA of just 1.43.
Cincinnati is riding a four-game winning streak after sweeping Washington over the weekend. Sunday’s 5-4 victory in extra innings as a 140 home favorite was the Reds seventh win in their last 10 games. It raised their overall record to 67-66 on the year, but they are still 13 games out of the lead in the NL Central. Cincinnati is 30-36 on the road and 37-30 at home.
The Reds will go with Homer Bailey as their starter tonight. His last time out, he lasted seven innings against the Marlins giving up three earned runs on five hits but did not get the decision. Bailey is 7-5 this season in 16 previous starts and has a 4.44 ERA. He is 0-2 against the Phillies with an ERA of 7.00.
The Phillies have won three of four at home against Cincinnati this season and the total has gone ‘over’ in every game. Hamels has owned the Reds in the past and tonight will be no different as Philadelphia grabs the early edge on the road in this series with the win.