August 31, 2012

MLB Network Friday Night Baseball Pick: Baltimore @ New York

MLB Picks

Preview


Baltimore Orioles
vs.
New York Yankees

Starting Pitchers: Gonzalez (Orioles) vs. Kuroda (Yankees)

Date/Time: August 31st, 7:05 P.M. EST

Television: MLB Network

MLB Odds from BookMaker

Moneyline: Orioles +185 Yankees -200

Total: 9 (Over -110)

 

MLB Betting Game Trends

Baltimore Orioles

  • Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore’s last 9 games on the road
  • Baltimore is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore’s last 12 games when playing NY Yankees
  • Baltimore is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Yankees

New York Yankees

  • NY Yankees are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Yankees’s last 12 games when playing Baltimore
  • NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Baltimore
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

 

Game Overview

The chase in the AL East is starting to get a heck of a lot more interesting by the day, and the team that is on the prowl, the Baltimore Orioles will hope to take a bite out of the lead that the New York Yankees have amassed on Friday night in the Bronx.

Baltimore just keeps figuring out how to get things done. In spite of the fact that Manager Buck Showalter has a team that has been outscored this year by 44 runs, his O’s are 14-games above .500 and are just three back of the Bronx Bombers for first place in the division. Though it’s unlikely, a sweep in the Bronx will level the AL East chase going into next week. This is probably the toughest matchup of the bunch in terms of pitching though, as Miguel Gonzalez is going to be on the bump for Baltimore. The righty has had a great rookie year, posting a 5-3 record with a 3.66 ERA, but he definitely has some flaws to him. Gonzalez walks far too many batters, allowing an average of 2.2 walks per start, and batters probably will ultimately hit higher than .248 against him for his career. His strikeout ratio of 49 to 66.1 innings of work is solid, but there are too many times that he walks almost as many batters as he strikes out in starts, and that won’t cut it against the Yanks.

Meanwhile, New York has to at least be wondering whether it is going to be able to get out of this series alive with the O’s or not. A sweep the other direction for the rest of the weekend, and the lead will be back up to six games, something that is going to be a heck of a lot more comfortable. However, losing the series will put not just the AL East crown in doubt, but perhaps a spot in the playoffs as well. Hiroki Kuroda has been a bulldog of late in the New York rotation as he has thrown 25 innings, including two complete games in his last three starts, allowing just four runs, four walks, and 10 hits to the three foes. Kuroda has been masterful this year, and the argument could be made that he should be in the Cy Young discussion in spite of his 12-9 record. The Japanese sensation has a 2.98 ERA, and if he had gotten a bit luckier this year, he might have been on a pace for 20 wins.

Prediction

Is New York going to win this game? Probably. However, we have a real problem making a team as good as Baltimore an underdog of this magnitude. These Orioles just keep figuring out how to win close games, and we think that they at least have a shot of doing it again in the Bronx on Friday night. Baltimore 4 – New York 3

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Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.

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