One of the teams with the best records in baseball betting action, the Cincinnati Reds will look to keep on rolling on Thursday when they take on the New York Mets at the Great American Ballpark.
When Matt Harvey came up to the majors for the Mets, the nation watched. The theory was that this could have been the start of something tremendous for a 23-year old righty who has a heck of a fastball. In that first game against the Arizona Diamondbacks, Harvey was fantastic, allowing just three hits and three walks in 5.1 scoreless innings. What really lit up the papers though, was the fact that he struck out 11 batters on the day. Since that point though, things have gone downhill for Harvey. He hasn’t won a game since his first MLB start, and in fact, he is 0-3 to show for his work. Of course, it would help if the team would put up a few more runs for him, but the truth of the matter is that 12 walks in 22.1 innings of work and an opposing batter average of .285 since that first start against him just isn’t going to cut it. Harvey is going to need to do a better job of keeping the ball down in the zone and pitching a bit more to contact instead of trying to strike everyone out.
Meanwhile, it looks as though the Reds are putting the rest of the NL Central away, and they are riding a five-game winning streak to extend their lead in the division up to seven games. There definitely is a level of safety here, and it is largely because of the team’s pitching staff, which has allowed the second fewest runs in the National League. Cincinnati will trot Homer Bailey out to the rubber on Thursday. Bailey is 10-7 this year, and his numbers are basically on par with what you would expect. He has a 4.08 ERA, and batters are hitting .278 against him. His walk total is low at 40, but that’s a tad higher than what he is used to in his big league career. However, his strikeouts of 105 in 141.1 innings of work is a respectable number, especially considering that he is already at a career high for the numbers of innings that he has pitched in a single season.
With as well as the Reds are playing right now, we have to back them in this spot. It’s just too juicy to pass up on for sure, as we just don’t have the confidence in the New York bullpen after Harvey to be able to nail down any sort of advantage that the Mets might be able to build up for him in the interim. Cincinnati 6 – New York 3