MLB Wagering: Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick

red sox nationals mlb picksWade Miley (0-0, 3.38 ERA) and Gio Gonzalez (0-1, 4.26 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (6-2) and the Washington Nationals (2-6) at Fenway Park. The Red Sox won the last game 8-7 and Boston leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 15 and can be seen on MASN and NESN.

Miley is 1-2 with a 2.03 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, and 16 strikeouts against the Nationals. Xander Bogaerts (.433 ) kept up his hot start yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs and one RBI. Against the Red Sox, Gonzalez is 3-1 with a 5.24 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, and 35 strikeouts. Michael Taylor (.242 ) has been successful at the plate to the start the season, going 2 for 4 yesterday with three RBIs.

Boston is a -116 favorite against Washington and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Red Sox have an overall money line of +269 and a record as the favorite of 2-1. The Red Sox are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 10. Boston is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping seven bases. As for the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Red Sox, who rank third in the AL in strikeouts per game with 9.1.

Washington has had a tough time against American League opponents, coming in winless. They have a 0-1 record as the underdog and 0-1 SU. Offensively, the Nationals have really picked up the pace in interleague games. They have exceeded their season average of 2.4 runs per game by averaging 4.0 in those contests. The Nationals allow 4.1 runs per game, but does worse whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 9.0 against teams from the AL.

The Red Sox have the edge in the season series, 2-0.

Predictions: SU Winner – BOS, O/U – Over

Notes

The Nationals lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Red Sox are 2-0. The Nationals are 2-2 in close games this season.

Washington has won 17% (1-5) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Boston has won 75% (3-1) of its games when taking a late lead.

The Red Sox are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 11 strikeouts. The Nationals have a record of 0-2 when they are struck out that many times or more.

It looks like the Red Sox have a slight leg up on the Nationals, as the Red Sox have won their last two games while the Nationals have lost their last two.

Neither the Red Sox (6-0) nor the Nationals (1-0) have lost a game when they outhit opponents.

Ranking 19th, Washington sits in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 24 this season. Boston ranks in the top five at second with 51.

Boston ranks at the top of the league when it comes to walks with 39 this season. Washington ranks in the top half at 13th with 21.

The Red Sox are 4-1 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Nationals are 2-4 when they hit at least one homer.

Aaron Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.