The Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers are going to duke it out on Monday Night Football in Lambeau Field on Monday Night, and here at Bang the Book, we’re going to take our picks for some of the MNF props on the board for one of the biggest games of the weekend!
Michael Jenkins Under 3.5 Pass Receptions: Give QB Christian Ponder some credit for the way that he has played this year, but he just doesn’t have all that many completed passes to spread around. The former Florida State Seminole just hasn’t built that much of a rapport with Jenkins, who only has five catches in the last two games combined. Even with QB Donovan McNabb, Jenkins just didn’t get the looks that consistently to be able to bet this number, so we have no choice but to think that the leading receiver for the Vikes.
Jordy Nelson -24.5 Receiving Yards vs. Percy Harvin: Harvin hasn’t had more than 78 receiving yards in a game this year, and he has averaged right around 40 yards or so per game. We have some confidence that Nelson can reach the 65 yard barrier, especially since he has been the subject of some bombs by QB Aaron Rodgers. Nelson is averaging 19.7 yards per catch, and though he only has 29 receptions, that is just one shy of tied for second on the team. Nelson has had 90+ yards in three of his last five games, and he has had a catch of at least 50 yards in four of his last seven. That’s more than good enough for us.
James Starks & Ryan Grant +24.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards vs. Adrian Peterson & Toby Gerhart: You would think that Grant and Starks would be the huge underdogs in this prop after watching Peterson rumble for 175 yards when these two teams met the first time around. That being said, we are concerned that AP is going to really find the sledding tough against a team that hasn’t had much in the way of problems stopping the run. It’s the pass that has really gotten the Pack this year. Grant and Starks have combined for almost 200 receiving yards and almost 700 yards on the ground. Don’t be all that surprised if the two Green Bay runners end up outdoing “All Day” outright in this prop.
Aaron Rodgers Under 24.5 Pass Completions: We know that betting against Rodgers is like rooting for the house in blackjack. Everyone wants to see the Green Bay quarterback throw for 6,000 yards and 60 touchdowns this year to shatter all of the records, but we have to be realistic and realize that his numbers are starting to get a tad inflated. Rodgers has 192 completions this year, including 24 against these Vikes the first time around. That being said, he is completing virtually every pass that he throws, which makes it hard to play the ‘under’, but on the flip side, it’s really hard to be able to complete 25 passes on a regular basis.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.