Monday Night Football Prop Sheet: St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
The St. Louis Rams and Seattle Seahawks are going to duke it out on Monday Night Football at CenturyLink Field on Monday Night, and here at Bang the Book, we’re going to take our picks for some of the MNF props on the board for one of the biggest games of the weekend!
Total Punts By Both Teams Under 12.5: For two teams that are going to be running the heck out of the football, this is a fairly ridiculous number of punts to ask for. Now, these two teams are combining to average right at 13 punts per game, which we are still trying to figure out, but both defenses are a lot shoddier than most of the ones that they end up playing against on a regular basis. Especially with RB Marshawn Lynch carrying the load, often on drives of 10+ plays, there are going to be at least a few instances of 7+ minutes coming off the clock in a drive that doesn’t end in a punt. We’ll take our chances that there aren’t at least 13 boots of the ball.
Steven Jackson Under 69.5 Rushing Yards: The offensive line has been brutalized for the Rams this year, and you needn’t look any further than Jackson’s stats to see it. Over the course of the last three games, he has averaged 1.9, 3.8, and 2.8 yards per carry. He only has two runs all season long of greater than 35 yards, and he hasn’t had a single 20+ yard run in three games. In order to get to 70 rushing yards, we fully expect to see him need to carry the ball at least 18-20 times, and maybe even 25 times, and we just aren’t so sure that that is going to happen in a game in which the clock should be moving in a hurry when both teams have the pigskin.
Tarvaris Jackson to Throw An Interception (-200): It’s harder to bet yes on this prop than no, especially knowing that Jackson might not have to put the ball in the air a single time to win this game. However, when push really comes to shove, there are only three games this year in which the former Minnesota Viking hasn’t been intercepted out of the 11 that he has played in, and the Rams do have 10 picks in 12 games this year. We have a hard time thinking that, especially if Jackson throws the ball 30 times in this game, that at least one of the attempts won’t go errant and end up in the hands of a Ram.
Marshawn Lynch Over 109.5 Rushing Yards: This is another one of these props that we just have to trust. Seattle has once again become a team that runs the football predominantly through Lynch, and if that’s the case, he really should get at least two thirds of the yards on the team. The Rams are allowing 157.8 rushing yards per game, easily the worst mark in the league, and on a team which is dealing with a slew of defensive injuries, we just don’t see this getting any better. Lynch has carried the ball at least 22 times in five straight games, and that means that he needs to average right at five yards per carry to get the job done. He is finding ways to consistently break through opposing defensive lines and get to the second level, and he is finally looking like the back that the Seahawks thought they were trading for last season at the trade deadline. We think that he’ll top 150 yards on the ground tonight.