The last two teams of the week to kick it off on Monday Night Football betting action this week are the Tennessee Titans and the New York Jets. Check out some of the NFL prop bets that are available at BetDSI, as we analyze the betting lines and see which sides to play.
First Score of the Game To Be a Touchdown (-145): K Rob Bironas has been booting all sorts of field goals of late, but the truth of the matter is that more often than not, it is still going to be the almighty touchdown that is scored first and not a field goal. The Jets do have 27 TDs against 16 field goals this year, believe it or not, while the Titans have 24 field goals against 27 TDs. It still seems like the percentage play here is on the field goal or touchdown, but when you factor out all of those field goals at the end of halves or the game, it is clear to see that this -145 number is clearly there to bait you into betting on the field goal. There are very few instances when the touchdown shouldn’t be favored by at least a -150 margin, and this is no exception.
Jets Under 17 Completions (-110): Sure, we get the whole Jets team in this one, but it just doesn’t seem all that likely that QB Mark Sanchez (or anyone else) is going to put the ball in the air all that much for New York on Monday. The Titans have a pretty darn bad run defense, and though 3.8 yards per carry isn’t saying much for RB Shonn Greene, he and RB Bilal Powell have really run the heck out of the football over the course of the last few weeks. Sanchez only has 12, 10, 26, 15, and 9 completions over the course of his last five games, and we just don’t see a reason to think that he has 18 pass completions in him, knowing that he has thrown just 22 passes or fewer in four of his last five.
Jake Locker Under 232.5 Passing Yards (-115): This number is just too high when push comes to shove. Locker really isn’t one of the elite quarterbacks around the league, and New York’s defense does rank a solid third in the NFL against the pass at 196.0 yards per game allowed. Locker is looking for more deep passes, and he hit a few last week to WR Kenny Britt and the gang, but in the end, there just won’t be the consistency there to reach this sort of a high number in a high profile game.
Chris Johnson To Score a Touchdown (-105): Johnson has only scored four touchdowns this year, but this is a real chance for him to shine and have one of the best games of his season. The Jets, for as great as they are against the pass, are a terrible 29th against the run, and they have allowed 11 rushing touchdowns to running backs this year. CJ2K has been all over the place, and we do have to watch out for RB Jamie Harper pillaging. However, we know that Johnson can be used as both a receiver and as a rusher, and he is likely to at least get a crack or two at this weak interior defense that New York is bringing to LP Field.
Kendall Wright Over 4.5 Receptions (+100): Wright has been getting his share of targets over the course of the last several weeks, and he is really rounding into form as the team’s top draft pick as he was expected to be. Granted, 59 catches, 555 yards, and four TDs through 13 games isn’t overwhelming by any stretch of the imagination, but he does have at least five receptions in three straight games. Wright isn’t going to be the deep man at all, as he doesn’t have a game this year with more than 78 yards, but he does have the potential to get the job done and catch five balls.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.