The last two teams of the week to kick it off on Monday Night Football betting action this week are the Seattle Seahawks and the Green Bay Packers. Check out some of the NFL prop bets that are available at BetDSI, as we analyze the betting lines and see which sides to play.
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards: Kicking in Seattle isn’t one of the easiest things to do, especially for two kickers that aren’t often allowed to kick the big time boots. Granted, K Mason Crosby has a huge leg and can kick it from 60, but K Steven Hauschka isn’t all that great of a kicker. These two men probably aren’t even going to take a whack at booting one from 45+, and even if they do, this really seems like a 50/50 proposition at best. We’ll take our chances that the two coaches aren’t going to really get all that much of a chance to kick one from this far out at least half the time.
Total Sacks Under 4.5: There is a heck of a lot to be made out of the fact that LB Clay Matthews already has six sacks this year and the fact that the Packers are going to throw the ball a ton against an aggressive defense that likes to get after the passer. However, we’re just not all that sure that that is going to be the case. QB Aaron Rodgers does a great job of getting himself out of trouble when he is in it, and QB Russell Wilson isn’t going to be throwing the ball more than 30 times over the course of this game if the Seahawks are in front. Seattle is going to try to limit the amount of times that Rodgers and his offense are on the field, and that means plenty of RB Marshawn Lynch and not a ton of chances to get a whopping five sacks over the course of the game.
Will the Packers Score a Rushing Touchdown?: This is just an insane price at -105 for anyone on the team to score a rushing touchdown. Sure, Green Bay doesn’t have a score this year on the ground, but we have to remember that regardless as to whether it is Rodgers, RB James Starks (if he plays), RB Cedric Benson, any of the wide receivers… anyone that gets into the end zone on the ground, we’re winners. The Pack had 11 rushing scores last year as a team, and we see no reason that they won’t get into the end zone on the ground in at least half of their games this year. This is a really easy prop in our eyes to bet, though we aren’t so naïve to think that it is a lock for it to happen.
Russell Wilson Over 2.5 TDs + INTs: Here’s what we’ll say about Wilson in this game. He isn’t going to be asked to do all that much in all likelihood. However, if he and his Seahawks fall behind in this game, there is no doubt that the former member of the NC State Wolfpack and Wisconsin Badgers will need to do something. The truth of the matter is that he is probably going to get his passing touchdown at some point, and he is probably also going to throw a pick. But will he end up getting another pick or another TD? We have to think that at least 40% of the time, that will happen against this aggressive defense that is often boom or bust. We’ll take our chances that Wilson will have at least three picks and/or TDs over the course of the game even though we really don’t expect him to put the ball in the air more than 35 times.
Marshawn Lynch Under 92.5 Rushing Yards: Alright, it seems like a lock that Lynch is going to be getting the ball at least 20 times in this game, but are 20 carries enough? That’s what we have the big time question about. We know that Defensive Coordinator Dom Capers is going to be spending this whole week trying to figure out how to keep the ball out of Lynch’s hands and making Wilson do something to beat him and his ‘D’. Lynch will still get the ball and get it quite a bit, but that doesn’t mean that Lynch is going to get his yards. This is a tough number for Beast Mode to end up with.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.