The last two teams of the week to kick it off on Monday Night Football betting action this week are the Philadelphia Eagles and the Carolina Panthers. Check out some of the NFL prop bets that are available at BetDSI, as we analyze the betting lines and see which sides to play.
Neither Team To Score In First 6:30 (-130): It’s a square type of play, but the truth of the matter is that it’s going to be tough to see either team score at any point during this game. Oh sure, it’s going to happen at some point, but especially knowing that in 6:30, both teams are going to have the football, and one of those two times, it’s going to be in the hands of an offense being led by QB Nick Foles and RB Bryce Brown… Yuck! Basically, we’re asking that both teams are going to get stopped once in all likelihood, and considering the fact that the over/under of punts is likely going to be around 10 or so, and the over/under on the number of scores will be around seven, we’re dealing with a great price.
First Score of the Game To Be a Touchdown (-140): This one, we don’t quite understand. Of kickers that have kicked in at least eight games for their team this year, the only one with fewer field goals than K Justin Medlock, who has just seven made kicks in 10 tries. Medlock is out, and K Graham Gano is in, but that doesn’t change the fact that the Panthers have just 10 field goal attempts versus 22 TDs. Philly’s offense is more a lesson in balance, and it actually is one of the few teams with more field goal attempts (18) than touchdowns (16). Still, it’s simple math, folks. That’s 38 TDs for these two teams against 28 field goal attempts, and with a backup quarterback in for the Eagles and more scores coming from the Panthers in this game in all likelihood, the chances that the first score of this one is a touchdown are quite high, and significantly more than the 60/40 proposition that the books are suggesting.
Philadelphia Eagles Total Completions Over 22.5 (-110): Not seemingly the best play in the world with a backup quarterback in the game, but perhaps there is more reason to think about this one. The Eagles are clearly a team that prefers to throw the football instead of run it, and that’s demonstrated by the fact that QB Nick Foles and the team have thrown the ball 41 and 46 times over the course of the last two weeks since the backup has been in the lineup. Of course, we have to remember that Philly was playing both of those games from behind, not ahead. Now though, RB LeSean McCoy is also sitting out, which probably gives Foles all the more reason to put the rock in the air. The Carolina secondary is suspect as well, so look for Reid to chuck the ball at least 40 times again in this one. What we’re asking isn’t unreasonable. Foles needs to complete 57.5 percent of his passes at that point to make us winners. Plus, we also get the added benefit of having any quarterback on the roster completing passes, which also accounts for injuries and any other tricky plays that Head Coach Andy Reid might pull out of the arsenal.
Cam Newton Passing Yards Over 235.5 (-115): Newton has had 252 and 241 passing yards over the course of the last two weeks, and we have no reason not to think that he is going to get to that number once again in this one. The Eagles have allowed just a slew of touchdown passes on a minimal number of passing attempts. Don’t let the fact that Philly has allowed 200, 209, 239, and 262 passing yards in its last four games. That’s still an average of 9.38 yards per pass attempt. If that stays the case, Newton would have to put the ball in the air 25-26 times to get to this number. As long as you believe that he’s going to do that when he is averaging throwing it 30.0 times per game, this is going to be an easy prop to bet. The Eagles just don’t have the secondary, in spite of all of the talent that appears to be out there, to keep up with Newton when he gets going, and with as many times as Carolina will have the ball, it really is a matter of when he gets going, not if he gets going.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.