Nationals @ Brewers Baseball Free Pick

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Preview


Milwaukee Brewers
vs.
Washington Nationals

Starting Pitchers: Starting Pitchers: Gallardo (Brewers) vs. Jackson (Nationals)

Date/Time: July 26th, 8:10 P.M. EST

Television: MLB Network

MLB Odds from BetDSI

Moneyline: Moneyline: Brewers -130 Nationals +120

Total: 8 (Over -115)

 

MLB Betting Game Trends

Washington Nationals

  • Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
  • Washington is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington’s last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 15 of Milwaukee’s last 23 games at home
  • Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games when playing Washington

 

Game Overview

The leaders of the pack in the NL East, the Washington Nationals are going to be up for a challenge on Thursday when they start their weekend series with the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in MLB betting action.

The Nats are still comfortably ahead of the rest of the pack in the NL East, and they are going to likely become the first team in the National League, and potentially in all of baseball, to reach 60 wins this year. It is amazing to think that Washington is playing nearly .600 ball this year, especially when you considering the fact that it has two more wins on the road (30) than at home (28). The starting pitching staff has been outrageous this year, and though all eyes have been on Stephen Strasburg, Gio Gonzalez, and Jordan Zimmerman, one can’t forget about Edwin Jackson either. Jackson knows that he is going to have to step up his game to take over for Strasburg when (and if) the Nationals shut him down this year, so this is a big start for him. The right hander might be just 5-6 on the year, but he does have a 3.73 ERA and has arguably been unlucky. Case in point: Jackson threw seven innings against the Atlanta Braves last weekend and allowed just five hits and one run. He got the loss in a 4-0 game. Still, for the year, there is no shame in a 1.15 WHIP or the fact that batters are hitting just .230 against him.

The Brewers have already likely conceded the fact that they are going to be out of the race this year, and assuming that they trade Zack Greinke before July 31st, they are going to be relying heavily on Yovani Gallardo to take over as the team’s ace. It isn’t a role that is unfamiliar to this righty though, as he is only 26 years old and already has 61 wins in his career, including three straight seasons with at least 13 victories. With 78 more strikeouts, it will also be the fourth consecutive campaign with at least 200 K’s. The truth of the matter is that there haven’t been many more consistent pitchers in the NL than Gallardo over the course of the last several years. Every year in his career, Gallardo posted an ERA between 3.52 and 3.84, and every year he had a WHIP of between 1.22 and 1.37. Batters have never hit higher than .251 against him in a season, but with just one season of an exception, none had ever batted lower than .245 either. Against Washington for his career, Gallardo is 3-1 with a 3.90 ERA.

Prediction

Gallardo is the better of these two pitchers in our eyes, and we think that that is going to make the slightest of differences on Thursday. Don’t be all that shocked if the normally patient Washington hitters end up taking a fall in the end, as Gallardo strikes out a dozen and leads the Brew Crew to a much needed pick me up. Milwaukee 6 Washington 2

Adam Markowitz

Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.

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