Football PicK Navy vs. San Jose State
Date/Time: November 22nd, 9:30 ET
College Football Odds from WagerWeb
Point Spread: San Jose State -2.5
For the third consecutive year, the San Jose State Spartans and the Navy Midshipmen are going to meet in college football betting action, but this time, it comes on a Friday night with the eyes of the world watching in a standalone game on the docket.
The Middies already know that they are going to the Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl on December 30th, where they could very reasonably be playing against this San Jose State outfit. Navy has caught some fire over the course of the last few weeks, and even its losses have looked respectable. When you go back and really look at it, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have one of the best teams in the Sun Belt, the Duke Blue Devils are going to win the ACC Coastal Division in all likelihood, the Toledo Rockets could end up winning the MAC, and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are still one of the best 30 or so teams in the entire country. That’s not a bad slate of losses, even when you consider the fact that only the wins against the Indiana Hoosiers and Pittsburgh Panthers have much merit to them. This is a game that could easily go either way, and it is going to require the best out of QB Keenan Reynolds running the triple option. Reynolds has 884 yards and 19 TDs this season on the ground, and he is one of the nine players with at least 160 rushing yards on the season.
Relatively speaking, this has been a disappointing season for the Spartans. They were never going to beat either the Stanford Cardinal or the Minnesota Golden Gophers on the road, but the rest of their games this year were winnable. Losing three times is unacceptable, and losing this game would probably make it so SJSU won’t qualify for a bowl game this year. The team has lost outright in back to back weeks as 6.5-point favorites against the San Diego State Aztecs and the Nevada Wolf Pack, and that makes this a very dangerous situation to be in with the Fresno State Bulldogs waiting on deck for the finale. QB David Fales badly needs some help in his final two home games of his career. He has thrown for at least 300 yards in seven of his last eight games, but the team around him has been awful. The Spartans have allowed 38, 34, 24, and 44 points in their last four games, and they have allowed nine straight foes to score at least 24 against them.
The Midshipmen have never won a game in this series, going 0-2 SU and ATS to show for their work. That said, this is a game that very easily could be won by the visitors if they can find a way to hold Fales down just a bit. The defense isn’t good enough, especially on a short week of preparation, to figure out how to play assignment football and slow down the triple option, and the end result is going to be an upset that cripples the season of the Spartans.
Navy Midshipmen vs. San Jose State Spartans Pick: Navy Midshipmen +2