NBA Betting: Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors Prediction

hawks raptors nba predictionNBA Odds: Hawks (-5)

The Eastern Conferences top two teams will lock horns when the Atlanta Hawks (43-11) welcome the Toronto Raptors (36-17) to Philips Arena. Action begins at 7:30 pm ET on Friday, Feb. 20 and can be seen on SN One and SPSO.

The Hawks are expecting a better outcome after their 89-88 loss to the Celtics in their last matchup. Despite the loss, Al Horford earned his 12th double-double this season with 22 points and 12 rebounds. The Raptors, meanwhile, are coming off a 95-93 win against the Wizards in their last game. Lou Williams led the game in scoring by accounting for 27 points on 8-for-16 shooting.

Trips to the foul line may prove key for the Raptors in this one. They’re ranked fourth in the league in free throw attempt rate (30.4), while Atlanta is among the best at keeping opponents off of the charity stripe (ranking fourth by allowing a free throw attempt rate of 24.4).

The Raptors lead the season series against the Hawks two games to one, but lost their most recent matchup, a 110-89 blowout. Horford had a standout performance in the victory, putting up 22 points, five rebounds, five assists, and one block.

Atlanta is a five-point favorite against Toronto and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is currently unavailable. The Hawks have gone 43-11 Straight Up (SU) and 36-18 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 28-7 SU and 22-13 ATS against the Eastern Conference. The Hawks are one of the best in the NBA in terms of field-goal percentage, shooting an impressive .471 from the field. Atlanta is one of the best passing teams in the league with an average of 25.7 assists per game.

In the other locker room, the Raptors have a record of 26-26-1 ATS and 36-17 SU. Against the Eastern Conference, Toronto is 24-10 SU and 17-17 ATS. The Raptors convert their free throws at a high percentage, ranking fourth in the league at .783.

With the Hawks’ last win against Toronto, they evened up the head-to-head record over the last 10 meetings, 5-5 SU. With a 6-4 record, the Raptors have the advantage ATS. Toronto held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers three times in the last 10 matchups. On the other side of the court, Atlanta never accomplished this feat in that span.

Predictions: SU Winner – ATL, ATS Winner – ATL

Notes

Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games.

Toronto is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto’s last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 16 of Toronto’s last 23 games on the road.

Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road.

Toronto is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto’s last 9 games when playing Atlanta.

Toronto is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Atlanta.

Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta.

Toronto is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

Atlanta scores an average of 103.4 points per game (ranked sixth). Toronto ranks 22nd in points allowed per game with 100.7.

Toronto ranks first in points allowed per road game (105.7 PPG), while Atlanta ranks 10th in points per home game with 103.3.

The Toronto Raptors won their last game by a two-point margin. In games decided by a margin of three points or less, the Atlanta Hawks are 4-4. Toronto is 3-2 in close games this season.

The Raptors have a 20-3 record when they allow fewer than 100 points. The Hawks, however, have performed well when they score under 100 points, with a record of 12-6 in such matchups.

When the Toronto Raptors allow at least 100 points they are 16-14, while the Atlanta Hawks are 31-5 when they reach the century mark.

The Raptors have the second-best offensive rating in the NBA (109.0). The Hawks are also in the top half of the league based on their defensive rating of 100.4 (ranked ninth).

Atlanta is ranked third in the NBA with an average field goal percentage of 47.1%. Toronto is an even 12-12 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.

Atlanta averages 25.4 three point attempts per game, and Toronto attempts 25.4 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Hawks have a superb 25-6 record while the Raptors have a 19-13 record.

The Atlanta Hawks are among the best in the league with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.96 (ranked second). Ranking 10th, the Toronto Raptors have an A/TO of 1.73.

Atlanta ranks 27th in rebounds per game with 40.9, while Toronto ranks 22nd with 41.9 per game.

The Hawks and the Raptors are well matched when it comes to rebounding. Atlanta is ranked 12th in defensive rebounding, and Toronto is also ranked 12th in offensive rebounding.

Atlanta ranks sixth in forced turnovers with an average rate of 15.4%. Toronto has a 6-7 record when they suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this.

Aaron Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.