NBA Betting: Basketball Stock Market Report for 4/9/13

Basketball teams go like the stock market. Sometimes they’re hot and you have to buy them, and sometimes they’re cold and you have to sell. Our NBA betting tips show the teams that you should hold and the teams you should ditch here at Bang the Book!

Stock Up

New York Knicks: Going on the road and beating the Thunder in the Sooner State was the biggest win that New York has picked up on this 12-game winning streak. F Carmelo Anthony is really making himself a legitimate MVP candidate with this massive stretch of four games. Anthony has scored 50, 40, 41, and 36 points in his last four games, and if he keeps playing like this, the Knicks are going to be a legitimate contender for the Eastern Conference title this year in spite of the fact that the Heat are going to be the odds on favorites by a healthy margin.

Miami Heat: The fact of the matter is that the Heat are playing some great basketball at the moment, and that’s in spite of the fact that F LeBron James has been sitting out for the most part and G Dwyane Wade is likely going to sit for the rest of the regular season. That’s not changing the team defense that Miami is playing. The Heat have averaged allowing just 88.6 points per game this season, the best stretch of five games that any team has had in the league right now. Sure, the Heat are only averaging 96.2 points per game in that same stretch, but we know that they are going to be a heck of a lot better in the second season.

Denver Nuggets: Don’t look now, but the Nuggets are only a few games back of the Northwest Division lead. There isn’t going to be enough time to run down the Thunder in all likelihood, but this is a team that is playing tremendous basketball. The team is averaging 109.6 points per game in these last five games, four of which have been covered. The 11.4 points per game margin of victory is the second best mark in the league over the course of these last five games. Head Coach George Karl is going to be up for Coach of the Year honors this season, and he is only strengthening his case as the campaign winds down.

Stock Down

Boston Celtics: The Celtics just snapped a four-game ATS losing streak when they knocked off the Wizards on Sunday, but there are still some real problems that need to be overcome for the boys in green. It almost seems like this is a squad that is purposefully taking it easy down the stretch of the season to get ready for the playoffs. It seems like a foregone conclusion that the C’s are going to be in the No. 7 seed and taking on the Knicks in the first round of the second season, and for as long as Head Coach Doc Rivers knows that, he is going to have plenty of games like he had on Sunday where F Kevin Garnett plays just 24 minutes and G Paul Pierce plays just 30. Still, it’s killing bettors at the end of the campaign that are backing the boys from Beantown.

Atlanta Hawks: The good news for the Hawks is that they broke their five-game ATS losing streak on Sunday against the Spurs on the road. The bad news is that they have lost three games in a row, have no chance to host a first round series at this point in the playoffs, and seem destined for another one-and-done. The offense has averaged just 89.7 points per game in this three-game run, and that isn’t going to cut it for the second season. These last four games of the regular season really should yield at least three wins though, and if not, the Hawks are going to get what they deserve.

Portland Trail Blazers: Talk about a team that has largely just thrown in the towel! Portland was down by 19 points coming into the fourth quarter on Sunday against Dallas, and though it did come back to make the game look respectable, we know that it was never seriously a game that could have been won. The Trail Blazers are now just 1-7 ATS and 0-8 SU in their last eight games, and that 96-91 loss to the Mavericks marked the first time since beating the Hawks on the road back on March 22nd that a game wasn’t lost by at least 10 points.

Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.