NBA Betting Guide-February 21
The NBA All-Star break begins on Friday marking the halfway point of this year’s abbreviated 66-game regular season. While most of the preseason favorites have played true to form, a couple of perennial playoff teams such as the Boston Celtics and the Los Angeles Lakers have struggled at times so far. There have also been a couple of surprises teams that started the season well ‘under the radar’ but have able to make their presence felt.
This NBA betting guide takes into consideration how a particular team is doing in the standings, but its primary goal is to provide a weekly snap-shot of which teams have been the top performers where it counts the most; against the spread.
The hottest team in the NBA continues to be the San Antonio Spurs. This past Monday night’s 106-102 victory over Utah as 2.5-point road favorites was their 11th in-a-row straight-up and seventh-straight win on the road to move to 23-9 SU on the year. The Spurs are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games and now have the best record in the league ATS at 19-12-1. San Antonio is 10-4 ATS at home and 9-8-1 ATS on the road. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 10 of its 14 home games, but has gone ‘over’ in 12 of 18 road games.
The team with the next-best record ATS at 20-13 is actually trailing the Spurs by 2.5-games in the Southwest Division. The Dallas Mavericks are 21-12 SU overall and have won seven of their last 10 games SU and are 6-2 ATS in their last eight. The Mavericks are 13-5 SU at home and 11-7 ATS with the total staying ‘under’ in 12 of the 18 games. On the road, Dallas is 8-7 SU and 9-6 ATS. The total has gone 7-8 in the 15 games. Defense remains this team’s strong suit as it is giving-up an average of just 90.7 points a game.
The third team on this week’s list has the best SU record in the NBA through the first half at 26-8, but has also been profitable ATS at 20-14. The Chicago Bulls have found ways to win with or without Derrick Rose in the lineup over the past 10 games with an 8-2 record SU. They are 12-2 SU at home and just 7-7 ATS, but on the road the Bulls are 14-6 SU and a very impressive 13-7 ATS. The total has stayed ‘under’ in nine of 14 home games and has gone ‘over’ in 12 of 20 road games.
The bloom may be off the rose for the upstart Philadelphia 76ers with three straight losses both SU and ATS, but they still have the fourth-best record ATS at 18-13-1. The 76ers currently lead both New York and Boston by 4.5 games in the Atlantic Division with an overall record of 20-12 and are 13-6 SU (12-7 ATS) at home and 7-6 SU (6-6-1 ATS) on the road. This is another team that has relied on defense to win games this season; giving-up a NBA-lowest 87.3 points a game. As a result, the total has stayed ‘under’ in 19 of its 32 games.
The best of the rest ATS include the Denver Nuggets at 18-15 SU and 19-14 ATS, the Orlando Magic at 21-12 SU and 19-14 ATS, and the Houston Rockets at 19-14 both SU and ATS. The New York Knicks are 15-18 ATS overall, but with Jeremy Lin running the show they have covered in seven of their last 10 games.
The biggest money drains among teams with a winning record through the first half have been the Memphis Grizzlies at 18-15 SU but 15-18 ATS, the Indiana Pacers at 19-12 SU and 14-17 ATS, and the Los Angeles Lakers at 19-13 SU and 15-17 ATS.
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