February 2, 2012

NBA Betting Guide

The NBA  closes-out its first full month of a 66-game abbreviated regular season and while most of the preseason favorites are playing true to form, a few have stumbled out of the gate. There have also been a few early surprise front-runners that are catching some attention after starting the season well off the radar screen.

It is easy to see how a team is doing in the standings, so this betting guide is designed to provide a weekly snap-shot of which teams are the top performers in the NBA where it matters the most; against the spread.

The three best teams in the league ATS have all taken turns at the top of this list this season and this week it is the Denver Nuggets turn to climb back into first. Their recent six-game winning streak, with the first five games being played on the road, came to a halt this past Sunday with a 109-105 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers as 5.5-point home favorites. The Nuggets are now 14-6 both straight-up and ATS. They are a balanced 7-3 SU (6-4 ATS) at home and 7-3 SU (8-2 ATS) on the road. The total has gone ‘over’ in 12 of their 20 games. Denver continues to be the most prolific scoring team in the league with an average of 105.8 points a game, but defensively it ranks near the bottom in points allowed; giving-up an average of 99.2 points a game.

The biggest surprise in the NBA this season continues to be the Philadelphia 76ers. They have won three straight and seven of their last 10 games to open a five-game lead over Boston in the Atlantic Division. The reason the 76ers are ranked so high on this list is a profitable 14-6-1 record ATS. They are 11-2 SU at home and 10-3 ATS. On the road, Philadelphia is 4-4 SU and 4-3-1 ATS. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 14 of its 21 games overall and in 11 of 13 at home. Balance has been the key for this team so far with an offense that has seven different players scoring in double figures and posting an average of 97.5 points a game. Defensively, the Sixers are giving-up just 86.1 points a game to carve-out the best scoring differential in the league at +11.4 points a game.

The third team that has been hovering at the top of this list for the past few weeks is the defending champion Dallas Mavericks. They have also won their last three games and seven of their last 10 to hold onto a one-game lead over San Antonio in the Southwest Division. The Mavericks have also provided a healthy return on investment with a 14-8 record both SU and ATS. They are 9-3 SU (8-4 ATS) at home and 5-5 SU (6-4 ATS) on the road. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 13 of the 22 games overall and is 5-7 at home and 4-6 on the road. This is another defensive-minded team that is ranked fifth in the league in points allowed; giving-up an average of 90.6 points a game. The Mavericks find themselves in the middle of the pack when it comes to scoring with an average of 94.7 points a game.

A couple of other teams that have been solid money makers this season are the Minnesota Timberwolves at 10-11 SU, but 13-8 ATS, the Chicago Bulls with the best SU record in the Eastern Conference at 18-5 to go along with a 14-9 record ATS, and the LA Clippers at 12-6 SU and 11-7 ATS.

A few early drains on the bankroll have been the New York Knicks at 7-13 SU and 5-15 ATS, the Detroit Pistons at 4-18 SU and 6-15-1 ATS, and the Charlotte Bobcats at 3-18 SU and 7-14 ATS.

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Dave Schwab

DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.

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