A five-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Atlanta Hawks (60-19) when they take on the New York Knicks (16-64). The game starts at 7:30 pm ET on Monday, Apr. 13 and will air on MSG and SPSO.
The Hawks won big over the Hornets 104-80 on Friday. Al Horford had 15 points, eight rebounds, and three blocks for Atlanta. The Knicks, meanwhile, are coming off an 80-79 win over the Magic on Saturday. Cole Aldrich played well, accumulating 19 points and 14 rebounds to claim his fifth double-double of the season.
When considering effective field goal percentage, the Hawks figure to have a significant advantage on the offensive end. They rank third in the NBA in that category at 52.9%, whereas New York’s poor effective field goal percentage defense ranks 27th, with opponents connecting at a clip of 51.2%. Furthermore, the 29th-ranked offense of the Knicks (offensive efficiency of 97.0) will face a tough test against the fifth-ranked defense of the Hawks (defensive efficiency of 100.5).
The Hawks have won both matchups against the Knicks this season, including a 91-85 victory in their last matchup. Carmelo Anthony scored a game-high 25 points.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. The Hawks enter the game with records of 60-19 Straight Up (SU) and 49-30 Against The Spread (ATS). In their last 10 games, they are 7-3 ATS. The Hawks are an incredibly accurate shooting team with a .468 field-goal percentage, one of the highest marks in the NBA. The Hawks, sporting the third-best assist-to-turnover ratio in the NBA (1.91), have proven themselves to be an extremely efficient offensive team. Transitioning to the Atlanta defense, teams routinely struggle to score points against the Hawks, who allow only 96.9 points per game. Teams have to fight for open shots against the Hawks, who have one of the best opponent field-goal percentages in the league at .438. The Hawks are fifth in the league in steals with 9.0 per game. If its opponents turn the ball over, Atlanta has shown that it knows how to capitalize. They average 18.3 points off turnovers, making them the fifth-best team in the league for that category. Expect Atlanta to have lots of opportunities at the line against the Knicks, who are one of the most foul-prone teams in the league with an average of 21.6 fouls per game.
On the other side, the Knicks head into the game with records of 33-45-2 ATS and 16-64 SU. In Eastern Conference games, New York has gone 10-40 SU and 22-27-1 ATS.
Atlanta won the last meeting this season between these two teams, but the Knicks still lead the head-to-head record over the last 10, 6-4 SU. The teams have an even record ATS, 5-5. When it comes to field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers, neither team was able to hold the advantage in all three of these categories over their past 10 meetings against one another.
Predictions: SU Winner – ATL, ATS Winner – ATL
Atlanta scores an average of 102.8 points per game (ranked 10th). New York ranks 20th in points allowed per game with 101.0.
On average, Atlanta puts up 103.4 points per home game (ranked eighth). New York ranks 22nd in points allowed per road game with 102.7.
The Atlanta Hawks won their last game by 24 points. In games decided by a margin of 18 points or more, the New York Knicks are 0-19. Atlanta is 11-5 in blowouts this season.
In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Atlanta Hawks are an outstanding 44-4. In games where they fail to hit triple digits, the New York Knicks have an underachieving record of 7-58.
Atlanta has a 16-15 record when allowing at least 100 points. New York has a 9-6 record when it hits the century mark.
The Knicks have a defensive rating of 106.9 (ranked 28th). The Hawks rank sixth for their offensive rating of 106.6.
The Atlanta Hawks average 96.4 possessions and 1.066 points per possession in games this season. The New York Knicks average fewer possessions with 94.5, as well as fewer points per possession with .970.
The Atlanta Hawks have one of the best effective field goal percentages this season, ranking third in the league with an EFF% of 52.9%. When their opponents record a similar or higher EFF%, the New York Knicks have an abysmal 1-35 record.
Atlanta makes an average of 25.9 assists per game (ranked second), while New York makes 21.2 assists per game (ranked 19th).
The Atlanta Hawks average 4.6 blocks per game for a rank of 16th. The New York Knicks rank higher (14th), earning 4.7 blocks each contest.
Atlanta is ranked 30th when it comes to offensive rebounding. New York ranks 29th in defensive rebounds.
The Atlanta Hawks average 9.0 steals per game (ranked fifth). The New York Knicks have an underachieving record of 3-27 when they allow at least 9 steals.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.