NBA Betting Pick – New York Knicks vs Miami Heat
Pointspread: Miami -9.5
Total Line: 199
Jeremy Lin and the new-look New York Knicks take their show on the road this Thursday night for an Eastern Conference showdown against the Miami Heat at the American Airlines Arena as the NBA closes-out the first half of the regular season. Game time is set for 7 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on TNT.
New York wraps-up a five-game home stand against Atlanta on Wednesday night before travelling to Miami on Thursday. Heading into the game with the Hawks, the Knicks are just under .500 at 16-17 straight-up and 15-18 against the spread. They trail Philadelphia by four games in the Atlantic Division and are 7-8 both SU and ATS on the road this season. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 13 of the 15 games.
Monday night’s stunning 100-92 loss to New Jersey as a nine-point home favorite marked the return of Carmelo Anthony to the lineup after missing the previous seven games with a groin injury. It was during his absence that budding superstar Jeremy Lin made his mark on the NBA with one outstanding performance after another. The two will now have to learn how to co-exist in the same backcourt to keep the team’s recent success going.
Miami continues to roll with seven-straight victories and has just one loss in its last 11 games. The Heat are now 26-7 SU overall and 17-16 ATS. They have been almost unbeatable at home with just two losses in 16 games, but are just 8-8 ATS. The total has gone 7-9 in the 16 games at home.
The ‘big three’ have Miami ranked second in the NBA in scoring with an average 103.8 points a game and ranked first in scoring differential at +9.21. The Heat are shooting 48.8 percent from the floor and 40.2 percent from three-point range.
Heading into Wednesday night’s game, the Knicks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Eastern Conference. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 19 of their last 26 games on the road.
The Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games in the conference. The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of their last nine games at home.
The road team in this series is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four. The total has stayed ‘under’ in nine of the last 14 games played in Miami.
New York will be playing its fourth game in five nights, but look for Jeremy Lin and Carmelo Anthony to find their groove at just the right time to keep this game close to the bitter end. The Knicks do not come away with the win, but they still serve notice by easily covering with the 9.5 points.
The Pick: Miami 94 New York 92
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