NBA Betting Prediction: Indiana Pacers vs. Houston Rockets

pacers rockets nba picksNBA Odds: Pacers (even)

The Indiana Pacers welcome the Houston Rockets to Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Action begins at 7:00 pm ET on Monday, Mar. 23 and can be seen on ROOT-SW, FSN-IN and NBA TV.

The Pacers are are hoping for a better outcome after their 123-111 loss to the Nets on Saturday. George Hill was the team’s leading scorer with 18 points. The Rockets, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after the 117-102 loss against the Suns on Saturday. Houston still lost despite the best efforts of Trevor Ariza, who recorded his third double-double of the season with 15 points and 12 rebounds.

Hill has taken his game to another level over the last five games for the Pacers. During that stretch, he has averaged 21.0 points, 3.2 rebounds, 4.8 assists, 0.6 steals, and 1.4 three-pointers.

This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Rockets winning the first matchup 110-98. James Harden was the game’s top overall scorer with 45 points.

The odds for Indiana and Houston are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable as of now. The Pacers come into this game 30-39 Straight Up (SU) and 36-31-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 8-18 SU and 13-12-1 ATS against the Western Conference. Indiana’s defense can be considered one of the best in the league. The Pacers allow a .435 opponent field-goal percentage, one of the lowest shooting rates in the league.

Over on the other bench, the Rockets have 46-23 SU and 40-29 ATS records. Against the Eastern Conference, Houston is 20-6 SU and 16-10 ATS. The Rockets have the best opponent three-point field goal percentage in the league at .316. Houston is the third-best team in the league at scoring points off turnovers with 19.1 per game.

In their previous meeting this season, Houston beat Indiana, but the win was not enough to overtake Indiana in the recent head-to-head series. Its record is now 4-6 SU over the last 10 meetings. The Pacers also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4. Indiana held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers twice, while Houston was never able to do so in their most recent 10 games.

Predictions: SU Winner – HOU, ATS Winner – HOU

Notes

Indiana ranks 24th in points per game with 96.5, while Houston ranks 16th in points allowed with an average of 100.2 given up.

On average, Indiana scores 97.5 points per home game (ranked 23rd). Houston ranks 24th in points allowed per road game with 103.8.

Indiana has a 24-17 record when allowing fewer than 100 points. Houston has a 10-12 record when failing to hit the century mark.

The Indiana Pacers have an abysmal 6-22 record in games where they have allowed at least 100 points. The Houston Rockets are 36-11 when they hit triple digits.

The Pacers have an offensive rating of 100.2 (ranked 24th). The Rockets rank fourth for their defensive rating of 100.1.

Houston beats Indiana in both possessions per game and points per possession. The Rockets average 100.1 possessions and 1.032 points per possession, while the Pacers average 96.3 possessions with 1.002 points per possession.

Houston has an average effective field goal percentage of 50.7% (ranked seventh in the league}. Indiana is a losing 6-17 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

On average, Indiana attempts 20.9 three pointers and Houston attempts 33.4 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Pacers have a 4-11 record while the Rockets have a solid 46-22 record.

Indiana has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.62 this season (ranked 17th), while Houston ranks lower at 28th with an A/TO of 1.38.

The Indiana Pacers are one of the best rebounding teams in the league, earning 44.7 rebounds per game (ranked fifth). The Houston Rockets rank 15th, rebounding 43.7 times each game.

Indiana ranks among the best in the league in defensive rebounds at third, while Houston is a top-10 team in offensive rebounding (ranked sixth).

Houston is one of the top teams in forced turnovers, with opponents averaging a TOV% of 15.7% (ranked fifth). Indiana has an underachieving record of 4-15 SU this season when its TOV% reaches 15.7% or greater.

Aaron Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.