Pointspread: Milwaukee -3
Total Line: OFF
The Boston Celtics continue to grind through an eight-game road trip with a Thursday night stop-over at the Bradley Center to face the Milwaukee Bucks. The game is set to tip-off at 8 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on NBA TV.
Boston continues to try and close the gap with Philadelphia in the Atlantic Division with a 3-2 straight-up record in its last five games. The Celtics are now a game and half back at 24-21 SU but remain a costly 20-25 against the spread. They are 8-13 both SU and ATS on the road this season with the total going 9-10-2 in the 21 games.
With the same cast of characters led by Paul Pierce’s 18.3 points a game, Boston is ranked 26th in the NBA in scoring with an average of 91.13 points. The main strength of this team remains a defense that is holding opponents to just 90.6 points a game.
Milwaukee is currently in ninth-place in the Eastern Conference but just a half a game out of the final playoff spot. It brings a six-game winning streak into this contest that has raised its overall record to 21-24 SU and 22-23 ATS. The Bucks have actually won four of the six games on the road, but are 11-9 SU and 10-10 ATS at home this season. The total has gone ‘over’ in 15 of their 20 home games.
The addition of Monta Ellis through a trade with Golden State has paid immediate dividends as he has averaged 16 points and 6.5 assists since joining the team last week. Milwaukee has put-up an average of 113 points a game over the last six, which is far more than its 97.9 points-per game average for the year.
The Celtics are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games against the Eastern Conference and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games on the road. The total has stayed ‘under’ in nine of their last 13 road games.
The Bucks are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win and 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of their last seven games following a SU win.
Head-to-head, Boston is just 8-20-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings and 1-4-1 ATS in its last six trips to Milwaukee. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of the last six meetings including the Celtics’ 102-96 victory on Feb.29 as 6.5-point home favorites. This time around, a road-weary Boston team runs into a buzz saw as the Bucks extend their streak to seven with the win. The Free NBA Pick: Milwaukee 104 Boston 98
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