Total line: OFF
The new-look Cleveland Cavaliers travel to South Beach this Tuesday to square-off against the Miami Heat to try and follow-up on their shocking upset the last time these two teams met in March of last season. Tip-off for this clash is set for 7:30 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on NBA TV.
Cleveland got off to respectable 4-3 start straight-up, but has lost six of its last eight games including a 121-94 blow-out at the hands of Atlanta this past Saturday as a 7.5-point road underdog. The Cavaliers are now 6-9 SU overall and 8-7 against the spread. The total has gone ‘over’ in nine of their 15 games.
Rookie guard Kyrie Irving continues to lead Cleveland in scoring with an average of 17.4 points a game and Antawn Jamison is second with 15.7 points. The team is averaging 94.8 points a game, but defensively the Cavaliers are giving-up an average of 99 points a night, which is ranked 25th in the league.
Miami has had its early share of injury concerns with Dwyane Wade missing the last four games with an ankle injury and is currently in third-place in the Southeast Division at 11-5 SU (8-8 ATS). It is 4-1 both SU and ATS in its last five games at home but coming off a 91-82 loss to Milwaukee on Sunday as a nine-point home favorite. The total has gone ‘over’ in 10 of their 16 games this season.
LeBron James is averaging just below 30 points a game and Chris Bosh is chipping-in an average of 20.5 points as the healthy duo in the Heats’ Big Three. These two are also combining for 16.2 rebounds a game and James leads the team in assists with 7.3. Miami is ranked second in the NBA in scoring with an average of 105.4 points a game, but giving-up a higher than expected 97.5 points a game.
The Cavaliers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on the road and the total has gone ‘over’ in four of their last five road games.
The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Central Division. The total has gone ‘over’ in seven of their last 10 games overall.
Head-to-head, Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings overall and 4-1 ATS in its last five games played on the road. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of the last seven meetings in Miami. This game still means more to the Cavaliers than it does to the Heat despite the fact that James is over two years removed from the team. Miami wins comfortably, but stick with Cleveland to cover what should be a double-digit spread.
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