Pointspread: Dallas -6
Total Line: OFF
The Houston Rockets will look to avoid the sweep this Tuesday night when they play the back-end of a home-and-home series against the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center. This Southwest Division clash is set to tip-off at 8:30 p.m. (ET) and it will be available on NBA League Pass.
Houston battled the Mavericks down to the wire in Saturday’s Game 1 in a 101-99 overtime loss as a three-point home favorite. Heading into a Monday night home game against Sacramento, the Rockets are 26-23 straight-up on the year and 25-24 against the spread. They are just 8-16 SU (9-15 ATS) on the road this year with the total going 11-3 in the 24 games.
The 99 points against Dallas was just the third time in Houston’s last nine games that they failed to score 100 points or more. The Rockets have actually averaged 102.4 points a game over this stretch as opposed to their season average of 98.1 points a game.
Dallas will be coming into this game with fresh legs with no other games scheduled since Saturday’s thrilling win. It is now 5-5 SU in its last 10 games and 28-22 SU on the year to trail San Antonio in the division by 6.5 games. The Mavericks are an even 25-25 ATS overall and 12-12 ATS on the road. The total has also gone an even 12-12 in the 24 road games.
The Mavs may be without Brendan Haywood for this game as he is listed as day-to-day with a sprained right knee. His loss would once again leave a pretty big hole in a Dallas defense that is ranked seventh in the league in points allowed; holding its opponents to an average of just 93.3 points a game. The team has given-up an average of 101.8 points in the four games he has missed.
The Rockets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on the road and 1-4 ATS in their last five games on no day’s rest. The total has gone ‘over’ in 10 of their last 13 games overall.
The Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, but 6-2 ATS in their last eight games playing on two day’s rest. The total has gone ‘over’ in eight of their last nine games overall.
Head-to-head, the underdog is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the total has gone ‘over’ in six of the last eight games in Dallas. Stick with the proven recipe in this series as the Rockets cover with the six-points in another high scoring affair. The Free NBA Pick: Dallas 105 Houston 101
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