Pointspread: Miami -8
Total Line: OFF
The Phoenix Suns head to the East Coast this Tuesday night to face-off against the Miami Heat in the first of a two-game Florida swing. Tip-off from the American Airlines Arena is slated for 7:30 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on the NBA Network.
A four-game winning streak has lifted Phoenix over .500 at 23-22 both straight-up and against the spread, but it is still on the outside looking in as far as the playoffs; sitting in the ninth spot in the Western Conference. The Suns are 8-12 SU and 9-11 ATS on the road this season with the total staying ‘under’ in 14 of the 20 games.
The big man for Phoenix this season has been Marcin Gortat with 16 points and 10.1 rebounds a game. The team is averaging 96.4 points a game while shooting 45.4 percent from the field, but giving-up an average 97.2 points a game on defense.
Miami is coming off a 91-81 victory over Orlando on Sunday as an 8.5-point home favorite. The win boosted its overall record to 33-11 SU and evened its record ATS to 22-22. The Heat are almost unbeatable at home SU at 19-2, but are just 11-10 ATS. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 14 of the 21 games.
Behind LeBron James’ 27.4 points and Dwyane Wade’s 23 points a game, Miami is the third highest scoring team in the league with an average of 101.8 points a game. It also boasts the second-best scoring differential in the NBA at +8.23. The team is shooting 48.2 percent from the floor and 39.1 percent from three-point range.
The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU win, but just 1-4 ATS in their last five games on the road. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 13 of their last 18 road games.
The Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on one day’s rest. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 13 of their last 16 games at home.
Head-to-head in this series, Phoenix is 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings overall and 2-8 ATS in its last 10 trips to Miami. The total has stayed ‘under’ in three of the last four meetings. It will be a tall task for Phoenix to keep this game close on the road as Miami continues to dominate at home. Stick with the recent trends in this series as the Heat win big on Tuesday night. The Free NBA Pick: Miami 102 Phoenix 89
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