Pointspread: San Antonio -4
Total Line: OFF
The San Antonio Spurs close-out their regular season on the road this Thursday night against the Golden State Warriors at the ORACLE Arena in Oakland. This game is slated to tip-off at 10:30 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on TNT.
There is no team in the NBA hotter than San Antonio heading into the start of the playoffs. It has won its last eight games and can close the season out with the best record in the league with wins over Phoenix on Wednesday and the Warriors in this one.
The Spurs have also been profitable to wager on down the stretch with a perfect 8-0 record against the spread. They are 48-16 straight-up overall (41-20-3 ATS) and 20-11 SU (17-12-2 ATS) on the road. The total has gone ‘over’ in 22 of their 31 road games. The only problem with taking them in this game is the fact that most of their starters are expected to remain on the bench while resting for the playoffs.
Golden State’s season has long been over with an overall record of 23-42 heading into this game. The Warriors were lousy no matter where they played with a 12-20 SU record at home verse an 11-22 SU record on the road. They actually have a winning record ATS overall at 36-29 but are 14-18 ATS at home. The total has gone an even 16-16 in their 32 home games.
The big question is how much motivation will Golden State bring into this final game in front of the home-town crowd. It is just 1-9 SU in its last 10 games and the one win was on the road. You would have to think there has to be some sense of pride to go out on a winning note in a nationally televised game since they cannot fall any lower in the standings with another loss.
The Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against the Pacific Division and 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games on the road. The total has gone ‘over’ in 20 of their last 27 games overall.
The Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall but 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. The total has stayed ‘under’ in six of their last eight games against the Southwest Division.
Head-to-head, San Antonio is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six trips to Golden State and the total has gone ‘over’ in 14 of the last 18 meetings there.
Games like this are almost impossible to handicap, but the ‘over’ remains a solid play depending on the closing line as neither team will be playing hard on defense. Despite the lack of star power in their lineup, stick with the Spurs as good teams want to win no matter who is on the court. The Free NBA Pick: San Antonio 112 Golden State 104
DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.