The Miami Heat looked for a while like it was going to steamroll everybody on the way to an NBA title. But they hit a road block with the Indiana Pacers, and now NBA Finals bettors at BetAnySports understand that they are facing a team that most certainly of championship timber in the San Antonio Spurs. Miami plays host to San Antonio in Game 1 of the Finals, which gets underway on Thursday night at 9 PM ET at the American Airlines Arena, with ABC televising.
Here is the setup for Game 1:
San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat
NBA Finals – Game 1
Thursday, June 6 – 9 PM ET
American Airlines Arena – Miami
The Spurs are in an interesting position in that they have been idle for a while; in fact, it has been ten full days since they closed out their Western Conference finals series, which they won in four games against the Memphis Grizzlies.
In the NBA Finals betting odds at BetAnySports, the Heat is a favorite in Game 1 of the series:
Over 188.5 Points -110
Under 188.5 Points -110
Heat wins game -230
Spurs win game +190
This series afford the teams some extra rest; if it goes seven games, it will lend on June 20.
In the 98 games the Heat has played this season, they are 78-20 straight-up and also a very strong 55-43 against the spread. And Miami had the best record in the league this season, earning itself home court advantage throughout the playoffs.
That’s obviously one of the reasons why the Heat is a favorite in the series. Here are the numbers as they have been posted at BetAnySports:
Miami Heat -220
San Antonio Spurs +180
When you think about it, this scenario could not have played out any better for Gregg Popovich and the Spurs. When you consider all the measures he has taken during the season to afford his stars some extra rest time, he could not have asked for anything more than to have al of this time off to take on the league’s defending champion. San Antonio has now played just nine games in the last month.
There is, of course, a flip side to that. And it is an obvious one. There is no getting around the fact that having all that time out of a competitive atmosphere could have a tendency to develop some rust. It can’t be helped, and no one would be surprised too much if the Spurs (-110 to go under 45 in the first half at BetAnySports) came out a bit cold. Keep in mind as well that Popovich made the infamous move of holding out Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker and Danny Green from the November 29 trip to Miami, which might now be looked upon as a way of not “showing the playbook” to the Heat (San Antonio lost that game by only five points), but remember also that it has been quite a while since those guys have played in the AAA. And with the expected “white-out,” shooting may be problematic at first. Manu Ginobili has made just four of his last 17 attempts from three-point range.
These are some of the things that push us toward an “under” in this game, as we proceed with the $1 Million Charles Jay / BetAnySports Spring-Summer Showdown (a simulation), and certainly under the first-half total of 93 (it’s -110 either way). After the Spurs closed out the Lakers so quickly, they had seven days off and then shot slightly under 44% in their game against the Warriors. And we also have in mind that Miami had a whole week off as well before going against the Chicago Bulls and bricked it in Game 1 (39.7%) against a capable defensive squad.
Here’s something else that is very interesting: San Antonio has held its opponent below 40% from the field in each of its last five road games in this post-season. Only one of those games went over the total. And that was against one club that was potentially deadly from the perimeter (Golden State) and another that made its living on the inside (Memphis).
Can they slow down the Heat to that degree?
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Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.