NCAA Football Best Bets – Week 2
The 2011 college football season rolls into Week 2, and while the odds makers continue to sharpen their pencils after having a full week of action to access each team, there are still a few golden opportunities to mine some value out of the current point spreads.
After a 2-1 start to the season on last week’s ‘best bets’, Bang the Book has come up with a couple more for this weekend to help keep the momentum going.
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No. 16 Mississippi State (-7) at Auburn
Mississippi State kicked the 2011 season off with a bang after dismantling Memphis 59-14 as a 30-point road favorite. Chris Relf threw for 202 yards and two touchdowns, but it was running back Vick Ballard who did most of the damage with 10 carries for 166 yards and three TD’s.
Auburn is still trying to find itself after struggling to beat Utah State 42-38 as a 24-point home favorite. Quarterback Barrett Trotter looked solid in his first start with 261 yards passing for three scores, but the Tigers’ defense gave up way too many yards and way too many points to the less-than-explosive Aggies.
The Bulldogs have lost nine of the last 10 games straight-up in this series, but are 2-2 against the spread in the last four. They come into this game with their most talented team in recent memory, facing an Auburn squad that is just a former shell of itself.
The Pick: Mississippi State 24 Auburn 10
Florida International at Louisville (-4)
FIU got off to a fast start in the Sun Belt with a 41-16 romp over conference foe North Texas as a 13.5-point home favorite. The Golden Panthers scored 28 unanswered points in the first quarter before coasting to the 25-point win. Last season’s Sun Belt ‘player of the year’ wide receiver T.Y. Hilton caught seven passes for 132 yards and one score.
Louisville knocked-off D- IAA Murray State 21-9 in its opener but came nowhere close to covering the 28.5-point spread at home. The Cardinals are now just 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games.
This game presents major matchup problems for Louisville’s secondary, which FIU quarterback Wesley Carroll will take full advantage of.
The Pick: Florida International 28 Louisville 17
Cincinnati at Tennessee (-6.5)
The Bearcats fall from grace last season was swift with a 4-8 record after a stellar 12-1 campaign in 2009. They rolled over D-IAA Austin Peay 72-10 as a 41-point home favorite in last week’s season opener, but face a real test this week.
Tennessee is looking to return to prominence after three sub-par years and enters this season with its most talented team since 2007. The Volunteers rolled over Montana 42-16 in their home opener as a 26-point favorite.
This contest will come down to Cincinnati’s ground game verse Tennessee’s passing attack with the slight edge going to the Vols. They are now 5-1 straight-up in its last six games and 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven, while the Bearcats are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
The Pick: Tennessee 28 Cincinnati 20
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