NCAA College Football Best Bets – Week 8
As the 2011 college football season wears on, the lines keep getting sharper and it gets tougher and tougher to uncover the value in the point spreads. The trick is having the ability to unearth a couple of the ‘bad lines’ that just so happened to slip through the cracks.
Last week we cashed in on Texas A&M’s 55-28 romp over Baylor as a 9.5-point home favorite. After crunching the numbers on Week 8’s lineup of games we are once again ready to ‘Bang the Book’ with a few free ‘NCAA football picks of the week’.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. No.7 Clemson Tigers (- 10.5)
The Tar Heels hopes of winning the ACC-Coastal Division took a serious blow when they dropped a 30-24 decision to Miami (FL) this past Saturday as one-point home favorites. They are now 5-2 straight-up overall (3-4 against the spread) but 1-2 SU in the conference.
The Tigers’ dream season continues as they moved to a perfect 7-0 SU (6-1 ATS) and 4-0 SU in the ACC-Atlantic Division with a 56-45 victory over Maryland as nine-point road favorites this past Saturday. Clemson’s balanced attack has it ranked 25th in the nation in passing and 32nd in running the ball.
North Carolina is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and coming off a 21-16 win last season as a 2.5-home favorite. The favorite in this series is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings making it Clemson’s turn to take home the prize with a win that covers the 10.5-point spread.
The Pick: Clemson 34 North Carolina 20
No.9 Arkansas Razorbacks (-17) vs. Mississippi Rebels
The Razorbacks only blemish against five solid wins is a 38-14 loss to Alabama as 11-point road underdogs. They have nation’s eighth-ranked passing attack and are averaging 39.2 points a game. Their defense, for the most part ,has been solid as well; giving-up an average of 21.3 points a game.
Things have gone from bad to worse for the punchless Rebels. They have just two wins this season against four losses and are 0-3 SU in the conference. Their offense is ranked near the bottom of D-IA in both passing yards and running yards and their defense is giving-up close to 30 points a game.
Arkansas is 13-3 ATS in its last 13 games in the SEC and 6-1 ATS in its last seven games against Ole Miss. The favorite in this series is 6-1 ATS in the last seven games. There is no way that 17 points is enough for Mississippi to cover in this game.
The Pick: Arkansas 41 Mississippi 13
No.17 Texas A&M Aggies (-20.5) vs. Iowa State Cyclones
We are back on the Aggies for the second week in-a-row in light of another favorable matchup for them in the Big 12. They are now 4-2 SU on the year (2-4 ATS) after last week’s impressive win over Baylor and still in contention for the conference title with Kansas State and Oklahoma still on the schedule.
The Cyclones are headed in the opposite direction with three-straight losses including a 52-17 rout at the hands of Missouri last Saturday as 17-point road underdogs. They have now been outscored 138-57 in the three-game slide.
Texas A&M is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference games, while Iowa State is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games overall. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the Aggies are 5-2 ATS in the last seven.
The Pick: Texas A&M 35 Iowa State 10
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