Central Michigan Chippewas
(2-3, 4-1 ATS)
Virginia Tech Hokies
(3-2, 3-2 ATS)
The Chippewas are still trying to recover from the loss of QB Dan LeFevour after he started in Mount Pleasant for four years. QB Ryan Radcliff is doing his best, though his seven INTs this year are clearly costing the team. Last week, the Chippies were almost three full TD favorites at home against the Ball State Cardinals, and Radcliff’s three picks were partially to blame. However, the frosh has done relatively well, throwing for 1,437 yards and seven TDs as well, and he is the big reason why CMU is 4-1 ATS on the season. The Chippewas haven’t played much of a schedule to date, though they did hold their first three foes to just 27 total points. Since then, opponents have dropped 61 in two games. Things could get worse this week against a Virginia Tech offense that is starting to get its stride. Still, for the time being, Central Michigan has held foes to 323.4 yards per game, and there has to be at least a shred of confidence in the team’s ability to post some three and outs.
The Hokies have covered three straight since the James Madison debacle, and truth be told, one more win will probably put them back in the Top 25 in the country. The shocking part about this success has been the fact that RB Ryan Williams hasn’t been in the lineup, as he has been nursing a hamstring injury. Williams is out once again on Saturday, which will pave the way for RB Darren Evans to take over. Evans has rumbled for 320 yards and four scores this year, and his rushing average of 6.5 yards per carry is tops on the team. However, the leading rusher is still QB Tyrod Taylor. Though at times the Hokies bog down offensive, Taylor does what he can to try to make this unit go. He has a cannon for an arm and could be a dominating force at times. Taylor has rushed for 322 yards and thrown for 869 more, accounting for eight TD tosses against just three picks. This defense is still incredibly talented for DC Bud Adams in spite of the fact that the unit allowed 30 points to the NC State Wolfpack last weekend in a 41-30 victory.
Virginia Tech’s cover streak ends here. The Chippewas have always been a “chippy” team, especially against the best teams on their schedule. This isn’t a program that is used to being a four score underdog, and even in Lane Stadium, there is no way that CMU is going to just lie down and get trampled. There’s no way that the Hokies are losing, but to cover this type of a number against a decent team is still too much to ask at this point in our opinion.
College Football Free Pick: Central Michigan Chippewas +22