Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2012 NCAA football betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 10!
#1 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS) @ #5 LSU Tigers (7-1 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Spread: Alabama -8.5, Total: 41
Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA – Saturday, November 3rd, 8:00 ET
All is to play for this week in Baton Rouge, as the Tigers and the Crimson Tide are set to do battle in what should be one of the best games of the entire year. The winner is going to be on the fast track to the BCS National Championship Game and will almost certainly represent the West in the SEC Championship Game. Alabama at least knows that losing this one will keep its title hopes alive, but LSU knows that it is finished with a loss and can probably book its tickets to either the Cotton Bowl or one of the Sunshine State New Year’s Day bowl games. Last year these two obviously met twice, with the Bayou Bengals shockingly pulling out the game in Tuscaloosa, but the Tide returning the favor with a 21-0 romp in the National Championship Game, a game in which LSU’s offense never even made it past midfield.
#24 Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) @ #2 Kansas State Wildcats (8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS)
Spread: Kansas State -8, Total: 66.5
Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS – Saturday, November 3rd, 8:00 ET
This is a very dangerous game for the Wildcats, who know that they are probably just four wins away from playing for the BCS National Championship Game. The Cowboys were in their shoes last year but ultimately blew it with just a few games remaining. Okie State has the offense to keep up with QB Collin Klein, but there is a real question as to whether the defense is going to have any answers whatsoever. If not, it could be a really long day in Manhattan for the Pokes, who have failed to cover six of the last eight in this series. However, do remember that Oklahoma State has won three in a row, including last year’s wild 52-45 game in Stillwater last November.
Pittsburgh Panthers (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) @ #3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: Notre Dame -16.5, Total: 45.5
Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, IN – Saturday, November 3rd, 3:30 ET
The Fighting Irish, just like three other teams in the nation, think that they are just four wins away from playing for all of the marbles. They might be right, but they had better not take the Panthers lightly. Home games in South Bend this year have been difficult propositions, especially against teams like this one that are middling teams that are probably going to be in modest bowl games. Remember that BYU and Purdue both came to South Bend and nearly pulled off big upsets. This game has a history of being quite close as well, as the last four games have all been decided by six points or fewer. The Panthers do have two wins in the bunch, and they have gone 2-1-1 ATS in those four games. Remember that U-Pitt badly needs to find two more wins from somewhere just to make it to a bowl game this year.
#4 Oregon Ducks (8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS) @ #17 USC Trojans (6-2 SU, 2-6 ATS)
Spread: Oregon -8.5, Total: 70
Los Angeles Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA – Saturday, November 3rd, 7:00 ET
The Ducks are continuously dropping in the BCS rankings, but this week, they won’t have any such problems if they can win this one. A loss, and Oregon’s chances of doing anything more than playing in the Rose Bowl are toast in all likelihood. The Trojans watched their National Championship hopes go up in flames last week against Arizona, and they might be clear out of the Rose Bowl chase if they lose this one as well. In all likelihood though, this is nothing more than a preview for the Pac-12 Championship Game, regardless of which team wins or loses. Oregon will still control its own destiny regardless of what happens in this one. USC knows that this is the biggest game left of the year, at least for now, and it is going to want to prove that last year’s win at Autzen Stadium was no fluke.
Ole Miss Rebels (5-3 SU, 7-1 ATS) @ #6 Georgia Bulldogs (7-1 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Spread: Georgia -14, Total: 61
Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA – Saturday, November 3rd, 3:30 ET
The Rebels and the Bulldogs figure to be on two totally different playing fields on Saturday, but that might not be the case. Ole Miss has been able to hang around with just about every team in the SEC this year, and that includes the fact that it was the team that gave Alabama the best game on the season (for whatever that’s worth). This is a dangerous spot for a letdown for the Dawgs, who really do have their eyes glued on the BCS National Championship Game if they can win out in all likelihood, as they are almost certain to be the top one-loss team in America if that turns out to be the case. Still, these last few games in this series have been close, though Georgia has just narrowly figured out how to cover back to back spreads against the Rebs. With an upset though, it would be a signature win for Head Coach Hugh Freeze, who is really starting to get the Mississippi program turned back in the right direction once again.
Missouri Tigers (4-4 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) @ #7 Florida Gators (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS)
Spread: Florida -17, Total: 42
Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL – Saturday, November 3rd, 12:00 ET
The Gators and Tigers are going to meet for the first time as SEC foes this Saturday, and the game is going to be intense if Mizzou can figure out how to get some points on the board. Many think that the key to victory for Florida is getting to 21 points, and that very well could turn out to be the case, knowing that the defense truly is one of the most stout in America. Still, last week’s loss to Georgia was crippling, and without the Bulldogs also losing this weekend, in all likelihood, the best the Gators are going to be able to do is the Sugar Bowl or the Fiesta Bowl this year. Missouri would just be happy with any bowl game, but that requires going 2-2 over the course of the last four games, and in the SEC, that’s certainly nothing near a guarantee.
Temple Owls (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) @ #10 Louisville Cardinals (8-0 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Spread: Louisville -16, Total: 51
Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY – Saturday, November 3rd, 12:00 ET
There really isn’t a whole heck of a lot that the Cardinals can do at this point but continue to win games and take their talents to the Orange Bowl this January as the undefeated Big East champs. It would just take far too much to get them into the National Championship picture consistently playing games like this one against teams like Temple, who are middling teams in a middling conference that is really bordering on not even being a major power player in the nation’s scheme. Still, the Owls have some talent, and their scheme is as hardnosed as it gets. They’re going to blitz the passer and run the ball a ton of times (over 2/3 of the time, in fact). The last time these two teams met though, the Cards walked away with a 62-0 romp, something that Temple is going to try hard to avoid.
Arizona State Sun Devils (5-3 SU, 5-2-1 ATS) @ #11 Oregon State Beavers (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Spread: Oregon State -4, Total: 55.5
Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR – Saturday, November 3rd, 10:30 ET
The Beavers have fallen from the ranks of the unbeaten, but they haven’t really fallen out of the Pac-12 title race yet even though they were beaten by Washington last week. This is another tough game, as it is another game against another one of these fringe Top 25 outfits. The truth of the matter is that Oregon State might not be anything more than a fringe Top 25 team as well if this keeps up, because the team probably has at least one more loss coming down the road to Oregon even if this one is won. Head Coach Todd Graham would love to be able to get his team to a bowl game already this year with six wins and try to convince some of the better bowl games in America to give his squad a look. With the way that USC is struggling though, even playing for the Pac-12 Championship isn’t out of the question.
#12 Oklahoma Sooners (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) @ Iowa State Cyclones (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Spread: Oklahoma -12.5, Total: 53
Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA – Saturday, November 3rd, 12:00 ET
The Sooners could be in a dangerous spot in this one, and they have to be very, very careful not to blow apart their chances at the BCS. Odds have it, one of the two loss teams in the Big XII (if there is one) will be in the BCS, and the Sooners should get there if they win out. However, a loss in a game like this one would blow that to smithereens. Iowa State is a hungry team that hasn’t won a game in this series in 13 tries, and that is going to make it all the more interesting on Saturday if the Sooners are feeling sad for themselves. Watch out for the Cyclones for a potential upset, as this is a live dog that is a double digit underdog at home. A win would send ISU bowling, something that the program lives and dies for every single season.
#13 Clemson Tigers (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS) @ Duke Blue Devils (6-3 SU, 6-3 ATS)
Spread: Clemson -13, Total: 66
Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC – Saturday, November 3rd, 7:00 ET
There is definitely good news and bad news here for the Blue Devils. The good news is that they are playing a night game under the lights at home against a great team with a great chance to take a step towards the ACC Championship Game this year. The bad news is that Clemson is ranked in the Top 15 in the nation. The Blue Devils have played against three teams this year that were at one point ranked in the Top 15, and all three times, they were beaten by at least 21 points. Clemson has been blowing teams out left and right, and it has covered five in a row in the ACC. If there is any hope whatsoever of winning the ACC for the Tigers, winning this game is a pre-requisite. The Tigers have won three straight by at least 24 in this series after getting shocked here at Wallace Wade Stadium in 2004 by the then 11.5-point underdog Blue Devils.
#14 Stanford Cardinal (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) @ Colorado Buffaloes (1-7 SU, 1-7 ATS)
Spread: Stanford -28, Total: 51
Folsom Field, Boulder, CO – Saturday, November 3rd, 2:00 ET
Ralphy is going to run onto the field before the game for the Buffaloes, but in the end, that’s probably going to be about the only level of excitement that the fans in Boulder truly have. The Buffs have been blasted by 56, 44, 34, and 28 over the course of their last four games in the Pac-12, and each game is getting progressively worse. Stanford isn’t going to make this one any worse than that, especially with an offense that has scored just a total of 58 points over the course of the last three weeks. However, the defense for the Cardinal is sure to be the dominating unit in this game, and we really question whether Colorado is going to be able to score or not. Don’t be all that shocked if this is another one of those Colorado games that just make you cringe.
#16 Texas A&M Aggies (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) @ #15 Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: Texas A&M -7, Total: 60
Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS – Saturday, November 3rd, 12:00 ET
You can certainly mark this one down as an historically moment in SEC history. It isn’t all that often that you see a team with a worse record and on the road favored by a touchdown without any notable injuries that could sway that game. That’s how much confidence there is right now in QB Johnny Manziel to be able to come on the road and beat the Bulldogs. We really don’t know just how good Mississippi State really is this year, because it has seven wins against a relatively weak schedule and a loss against the best team in America. This is a really good gauge for how the rest of the year is going to go for both of these teams, and in the end, the winner might be on their way to the Cotton Bowl. Heck, both teams still have BCS dreams alive as well, though it is going to take winning out and getting a lot of help for that to continue.
#23 Texas Longhorns (6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS) @ #18 Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS)
Spread: Texas Tech -6.5, Total: 67.5
Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX – Saturday, November 3rd, 3:30 ET
The loser of this game can pretty much pack their bags for a middling bowl game this year, while the winner is at least going to keep their BCS hopes alive. More realistically, the winner will be on a pace to go to the Cotton Bowl, which is still one of the most prestigious bowl games of the year outside of the BCS and is nothing to be ashamed of, especially in the gauntlet of the Big XII. Texas is going to go with QB Case McCoy in all likelihood and replace QB David Ash, and though that brings up some serious questions at this juncture of the season, at least we know that the Longhorns have dominated in this series. Since losing as the No. 1 team in the land with just 0:02 left on the clock here in Lubbock four years ago, the Horns have gone 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS, winning all three games by double digits.
San Diego State Aztecs (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) @ #19 Boise State Broncos (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: Boise State -15.5, Total: 49.5
Bronco Stadium, Boise, ID – Saturday, November 3rd, 10:30 ET
It’s a shame that QB Ryan Katz isn’t going to be in the fold for the Aztecs, because they really would have had a shot of coming on the road and pulling off the upset of the Broncos. As it is, this is still likely the de facto Mountain West Championship Game, as the winner is going to win the conference. Either way, SDSU might be headed to the Las Vegas Bowl though, because Boise State is still holding onto its BCS hopes, which seem to be getting stronger and stronger with each game that a contender in the Big Ten finds a way to lose. Winning out likely will send Head Coach Chris Petersen and the gang, even with one loss, to the BCS. San Diego State isn’t going to be a pushover, though last year, it was beaten by 17 at Qualcomm Stadium. The Aztecs were good enough to cover the 18-point spread.
#20 Nebraska Cornhuskers (6-2 SU, 5-4 ATS) @ Michigan State Spartans (5-4 SU, 3-6 ATS)
Spread: Nebraska -1, Total: 44
Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI – Saturday, November 3rd, 3:30 ET
Lo and behold, right after talking about Boise State, we’re going to be discussing the only team that might be able to keep it out of the BCS. If Nebraska loses this game, the Big Ten might legitimately be void of a Top 25 team that is eligible for a bowl game this year, and that would be music to the ears of the Broncos (and Louisiana Tech, for what it’s worth). The Huskers have played against Michigan State four teams over the course of the last 17 years, and they are 4-0 SU and ATS and have won all of the games by at least 14 points apiece. Michigan State’s offense has struggled all year long, and the defense is going to need to pick it up in a hurry to try to get back on track. If there is any hope of going back to the Big Ten Championship Game again this year, this is a game that the Spartans absolutely have to win.
TCU Horned Frogs (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS) @ #21 West Virginia Mountaineers (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS)
Spread: West Virginia -5, Total: 68
Mountaineer Field, Morgantown, WV – Saturday, November 3rd, 3:00 ET
The Horned Frogs and the Mountaineers are the two new kids on the block in the Big XII, and they are both hoping to stop slides on Saturday afternoon in Morgantown. TCU is a 5-3 team, but it has to figure out how to win at least one game as an underdog for the rest of the year to make it to a bowl. This isn’t an easy schedule, and there won’t be a game this year in which the Frogs are favored again. West Virginia is trying to lick its wounds from two bad games in a row before its bye, and QB Geno Smith wants to get right back in the thick of the Heisman Trophy race as well with a solid performance against a good defense that has perennially been one of the best in college football.
#22 Arizona Wildcats (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS) @ UCLA Bruins (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: UCLA -3.5, Total: 71
Rose Bowl Stadium, Los Angeles, CA – Saturday, November 3rd, 10:30 ET
The winner of this game is going to be ranked in the Top 25 in the country, and the loser is likely to fall out. This is a pivotal game in the Pac-12 South race as well. USC is likely to drop to 4-3 in conference, and Arizona State is likely to slip to 3-3. If UCLA loses to Arizona, the race is literally wide open once again for literally anyone to get back into it. (Well, everyone except Colorado!) UCLA can take the lead in the conference by itself with a win at home though, something that surging QB Brett Hundley would love to be able to do. Hundley is the future of football here in the Pac-12, and he has had a great freshman year. However, he is going against QB Matt Scott and the 4th ranked passing attack and the fourth overall ranked total offense in America.
Texas San Antonio Roadrunners (5-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) @ #25 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Spread: Louisiana Tech -31, Total: 73
Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, LA – Saturday, November 3rd, 4:00 ET
Louisiana Tech is back in the Top 25, and it could still be holding onto very slim BCS bowl hopes if enough teams lose around it. Still, the Bulldogs are far more concerned with just putting up more outrageous offensive numbers, something that clearly has come easily to them this year. The UTSA defense isn’t going to put up all that much of a fight in spite of the fact that it has clearly been the most successful of the new teams this year at the FBS level. This unit has allowed 100 points over the course of the last two weeks, and both of those games have come at the Alamodome. La Tech had a shoddy game last week in a 28-14 win over New Mexico State in Las Cruces, but this is a far more palatable game that should result in at least a four score win.
Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.
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