Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2012 NCAA football betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 13!
#1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-0 SU, 6-5 ATS) @ USC Trojans (7-4 SU, 3-8 ATS)
Spread: Notre Dame -6, Total: Off
Los Angeles Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA – Saturday, November 24th, 8:00 ET
The Fighting Irish have just one more game to win if they are going to be in the National Championship Game, and this is it. It’s a tough trek out to Los Angeles from South Bend, but nothing else has fazed this team all year long, so this really shouldn’t either. QB Matt Barkley isn’t going to be in the lineup for USC, meaning QB Max Vittek is going to be making his first career start for the Men of Troy. This is a series that has been dominated by the Trojans over the years, but that might change this time around. Notre Dame did win its last visit to the Coliseum two years ago, and it hopes to continue a string of three straight wins by the road win in this series. If not, the Golden Domers will end up in the Rose Bowl or the Fiesta Bowl in all likelihood. USC really doesn’t have all that much left to play for at this point, knowing that it is out of the BCS discussions, and the appeal of perhaps finishing the season in the Top 25 in the land really isn’t al lthat great.
Auburn Tigers (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS) @ #2 Alabama Crimson Tide (10-1 SU, 5-6 ATS)
Spread: Alabama -31.5, Total: 46
Bryant Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL – Saturday, November 24th, 3:30 ET
The Crimson Tide and the Tigers absolutely hate each other, but Alabama rules the Iron Bowl with an iron fist at this point. This is actually one of the most lopsided point spreads of the week. Alabama knows that a win sends it to the SEC Championship Game (though a reminder is that a shock of a loss will keep it out of the SEC Championship), and it will move it within a game of the National Championship Game. For Auburn, this is almost certainly the last game for Head Coach Gene Chizik, as it has been a disappointing two seasons for the team. Of course, the last time that the Tigers were here at Bryant Denny Stadium, they pulled off the upset and made it to the National Championship Game, knocking Alabama out as well. This would be a monumental upset if it were to happen, though.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS) @ #3 Georgia Bulldogs (10-1 SU, 5-6 ATS)
Spread: Georgia -13, Total: 64.5
Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA – Saturday, November 24th, 12:00 ET
The Bulldogs and the Ramblin’ Wreck are going to be facing off against each other in this annual rivalry game, and it is going to be a heck of a game. Georgia is clearly the better of the two teams, and it should show. However, preparing for the Yellow Jackets is tough in just one week, knowing that it is incredibly difficult to get ready for the triple option. Next week, both of these teams are going to be playing, as UGA is a lot more worried about Alabama next week in the SEC Championship Game, while Georgia Tech is taking on Florida State in the ACC Championship Game. The Bulldogs have won three games in a row in this series, and they are 2-1 ATS in those efforts. However, over the course of the last four years, the Yellow Jackets have rushed for an average of 317.0 yards per game, a real success against an SEC team. If Georgia loses this one, the team is going to be finished with its chance of winning the National Championship.
#4 Florida Gators (10-1 SU, 6-5 ATS) @ #10 Florida State Seminoles (10-1 SU, 4-6 ATS)
Spread: Florida State -6, Total: Off
Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL – Saturday, November 24th, 3:30 ET
The Gators and Seminoles are battling it out in the Sunshine State, and this is the most relevant this game has been in quite some time for both teams together. QB Jeff Driskel is going to give it a go in this game, but there is a real question as to whether or not he is going to be able to play at a very high level or not. For Florida, it will almost surely be off to the BCS with a win in this game, but a loss, and it is almost certainly going to be stuck in the Outback Bowl or the Capital One Bowl. Florida State really isn’t going have its season decided one way or the other in this game, but it’s always nice to beat the Gators, and it would be a huge win in recruiting, as well as a massive win for the respect of the ACC. These two teams seem to go in cycles now. During the Tim Tebow era, the Gators always won and covered. Since that point though, the series is 2-0 SU and ATS in favor of FSU.
#5 Oregon Ducks (10-1 SU, 6-5 ATS) @ #15 Oregon State Beavers (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS)
Spread: Oregon -9.5, Total: 64.5
Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR – Saturday, November 24th, 3:00 ET
The Civil War is always one of the most bitter rivalry games of the year, and this is no exception. Oregon knows that it has to win this one if it is going to have any chance to win the Pac-12 Championship, though it still needs some help to be order to do so. The Ducks though, also know that a win parlayed with a Notre Dame loss should send them to the BCS National Championship Game in spite of the fact that they were beaten last week. Of course, that’s provided that they don’t lose another game if they have to play in the Pac-12 Championship Game next week. Oregon State will get a share of the Pac-12 North title if it wins this game, but it won’t be able to go to the league title game due to tiebreakers. The last time the Beavers won the Platypus Trophy was back in 2007, but since that point, they are just 0-4 SU and 1-2-1 ATS.
#7 LSU Tigers (9-2 SU, 5-6 ATS) @ Arkansas Razorbacks (4-7 SU, 2-9 ATS)
Spread: LSU -12, Total: 51
Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR – Friday, November 23rd, 2:30 ET
The Bayou Bengals could have an outside chance to win the National Championship still, but it’s going to require a win and a heck of a lot of losses from the top teams in America. This is a game that they obviously can’t punt away though, and it is a game that isn’t going to ultimately be a helper for the BCS rankings over the course of the next two weeks. Arkansas has had a disastrous season, but winning this one would at least give a sense of accomplishment that the Hogs were able to end the title hopes of one of the teams that they hate the most in the country. The home team has won four games in a row in this series, and it is 3-1 ATS in those games. The Hogs though, are 4-1 ATS in the last five in this series as well.
#8 Stanford Cardinal (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS) @ #17 UCLA Bruins (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS)
Spread: Stanford -2, Total: 52.5
Rose Bowl Stadium, Los Angeles, CA – Saturday, November 24th, 6:30 ET
The road to the Rose Bowl goes through… well… the Rose Bowl! UCLA already knows that it is going to be playing in the Pac-12 Championship Game, and in all likelihood, it is going to have to go on the road. If Stanford wins this one, the Cardinal will be hosting these Bruins next week down on “The Farm.” If Stanford loses though, the door opens up for Oregon once again to get back into the conversation. If the Ducks lose though, these two teams might as well stay right here, because they’ll be playing next week at the Rose Bowl for the right to go to the Rose Bowl. Stanford has won and covered three straight in this series, and these last two games have been ugly losses for the Bruins, 45-19 in 2011 and 35-0 in 2010. This one kicks off after the Oregon/Oregon State game is over with, so these two teams will know what is on the line from the get go.
Missouri Tigers (5-6 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) @ #9 Texas A&M Aggies (9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS)
Spread: Texas A&M -22, Total: 61
Kyle Field, College Station, TX – Saturday, November 24th, 7:00 ET
These two teams from the Big XII have had very opposite first years in the SEC. The Aggies are going to be playing this one potentially for the right to stay at the Cotton Bowl (and for a chance to play Texas potentially, too!), and they even have a shot at the BCS as well. Missouri has just five wins, and it needs to find a way to pull off the upset at Kyle Field just to qualify for a bowl game. These Tigers have been weird, as they punted a game against Syracuse last week after pushing Florida and beating Tennessee on the road in the two previous weeks. The good news for the ‘Zou? It has won two straight games in this series in front of the 12th Man, and in both games it was a dog. However, the bad news? QB Johnny Manziel wasn’t playing for the Aggies in either of those games. This is the last shot for Johnny Football to prove that he is a legitimate Heisman Trophy player.
#12 South Carolina Gamecocks (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS) @ #11 Clemson Tigers (10-1 SU, 8-3 ATS)
Spread: Clemson -4, Total: 61.5
Clemson Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC – Saturday, November 24th, 7:00 ET
The Tigers still think that they have the most outside of chances to go to the National Championship Game this year, and though we disagree, we don’t doubt the importance of this game. The ACC badly needs a good showing this week and in the bowl season for some respect, and Clemson knows that there are millions of dollars on the line. A win, and the Fiesta Bowl or the Sugar Bowl should be calling for the Tigers. A loss, and it’s probably off to the Chick-Fil-A Bowl at best. South Carolina probably won’t stand a chance to get into the BCS without a ton of help, but it is going to be fighting it out with a lot of other teams for the right to be in the Sunshine State for a January 1st bowl game. The Gamecocks have won and covered three in a row in this series and have covered six out of seven dating back to 2006.
#21 Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) @ #13 Oklahoma Sooners (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS)
Spread: Oklahoma -7, Total: 72.5
Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK – Saturday, November 24th, 3:30 ET
The Sooners and the Cowboys always play crazy games, and that’s why this series is very appropriately named “Bedlam.” Both clubs could still be in the BCS this year, though it is a lot more likely for Oklahoma to snare that title than the Cowboys. But either team winning out could get the job done. The Sooners know that two wins and another Kansas State slip in the finale of the regular season removes all BCS doubt and sends them to the Fiesta Bowl as the Big XII champs. The Cowboys will at least still be in the discussion for an at large to the BCS with a win. Recent history suggests that this game isn’t going to be all that close. Last year’s 44-10 win for the Cowboys marked the fourth time in the last five years in which the final margin of victory was at least 20 points. OU had covered four in a row before last year.
#14 Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-2 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) @ Iowa Hawkeyes (4-7 SU, 2-8-1 ATS)
Spread: Nebraska -15, Total: 53
Lincoln Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, NE – Friday, November 23rd, 12:00 ET
The college football world is trying to get these two teams to be real rivals, but there is still a lot of work to do for that to be the case. Nebraska is playing for the right to go to the Big Ten Championship Game, though a Michigan loss would do the same thing. Iowa has had a frustrating season, and Head Coach Kirk Ferentz might be on his way out whether this one is won or lost. It’s the final game for QB James Vandenberg, who has had some very high ups and very low downs in his time playing here at Kinnick Stadium. These two teams played last year in a very ugly 20-7 game that was won by the Huskers. Iowa had just 270 total yards of offense, and the last three meetings dating back to 1999 have been just as bad for the Hawkeyes. They have been beaten by 13, 29, and 35 points, and they have accounted for less than 300 yards in all three games.
TCU Horned Frogs (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS) @ #16 Texas Longhorns (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS)
Spread: Texas -7, Total: 58
Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX – Thursday, November 22nd, 7:30 ET
For years and years, this Thanksgiving Day tradition used to have the Longhorns take on the Aggies. However, with those two teams splitting conferences, the new team of choice for the time being is TCU, a team that is also in the Lone Star State and is hungry to take down the boys from Austin. It has been a frustrating year for both of these teams at times. TCU has survived and has figured out how to make a bowl game this year, and it could make it up the bowl ladder in its new conference as well. Texas could still be a BCS team if it can win its final two games of the year. These two teams haven’t played since 2007, and that was the only meeting since the two shared the Southwest Conference until the mid-90s. Texas won the last game 34-13 and easily covered the spread in a game in which it outgained the Horned Frogs 415-251.
#18 Rutgers Scarlet Knights (9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS) @ Pittsburgh Panthers (4-6 SU, 5-4-1 ATS)
Spread: Pittsburgh -2, Total: 43.5
Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA – Saturday, November 24th, 12:00 ET
Isn’t it funny that the Panthers are favored in this game in spite of the fact that they aren’t bowl eligible at this point and are just one loss away from failing to get to a bowl game? Meanwhile, Rutgers is controlling its own destiny to get into the BCS as the Big East winner, and it actually could wrap up the conference title with a win and a Louisville loss this week. The Scarlet Knights though, don’t necessarily feel like a team that will get the job done. Their defense has played remarkable ball over the course of the last few weeks, but is it that they are that good, or that their schedule is that weak? It’s probably a bit of both. Pittsburgh has had some highs and lows this year, but losing game to back games against Notre Dame and Connecticut on the road have really proved to be killers. Rutgers won and covered last year in a 34-10 victory, but prior to that, the Panthers had covered three out of four.
#19 Michigan Wolverines (8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS) @ Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0 SU, 6-5 ATS)
Spread: Ohio State -3.5, Total: 54.5
Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH – Saturday, November 24th, 12:00 ET
What a remarkable game that we have here between “the team up north” and “Ohio.” The Buckeyes can finish out this season with a perfect 12-0 record, and Head Coach Urban Meyer says that rings are coming for his team. There might be a bigger party in Columbus if the AP Poll actually gives the Bucks the credit as their National Champions, creating the very rare split title. It would require OSU finishing out the campaign as the only undefeated team in the nation, though. Michigan still has a couple of items on its plate. The first is winning the Big Ten Legends Division, but if Nebraska holds serve against Iowa on Friday, that won’t be an issue. The second though, is very real. If Michigan gets into the Top 16 in the BCS, there is a real chance that it could be a second team out of a very weak Big Ten conference to make a BCS bowl game. We have seen this before, and we might see it again if there’s a win in this one over a previously unbeaten team. It’s going to take the Wolverines snapping a five-game coverless streak against OSU.
Connecticut Huskies (4-6 SU, 2-5-3 ATS) @ #20 Louisville Cardinals (9-1 SU, 4-6 ATS)
Spread: Louisville -11.5, Total: 45
Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY – Saturday, November 24th, 12:00 ET
The Cardinals know that a win in this game, and they will setup the de facto Big East Championship Game against Rutgers next week in Piscataway. QB Teddy Bridgewater knows that he is going to have his work cut out for him in this one though, against a Connecticut defense that has been stellar over the course of the last several weeks. Of course, the lack of an offense has really put the Huskies behind the eight ball as well. They need to win these last two games just to qualify for a bowl game, and that isn’t likely to happen. There isn’t a lot of history between these two teams, as they have only met eight times in their history at the FBS level. The Huskies hold the 5-3 ATS advantage, though both teams are 4-4 SU in those clashes.
Ohio Bobcats (8-3 SU, 4-7 ATS) @ #23 Kent State Golden Flashes (10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS)
Spread: Kent State -9.5, Total: 60
Dix Stadium, Kent, OH – Friday, November 23rd, 11:00 ET
The MAC has had a ton of teams ranked in the Top 25 at some point this year, and that might be some validation for the Golden Flashes in this game. The chance to get to the BCS is still there for Kent State, though that is a very long shot to say the least. The Flashes already know that they are going to be playing next week in the conference title game, something that Ohio really wished that it was doing. As it is though, the Bobcats know that they need to win this game to make sure that they are going to get to a bowl. They’re eligible now, and they’re likely to end up in a bowl game regardless with now four teams that are eligible not going to bowl games from power conferences. The Golden Flashes have covered three straight games. Four straight have failed to reach the ‘total’, and the last three have all failed to exceed 34 points in this series.
Arizona State Sun Devils (6-5 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) @ #24 Arizona Wildcats (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS)
Spread: Arizona -2.5, Total: 68.5
Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ – Friday, November 23rd, 10:00 ET
You wouldn’t know it, but the clash between Arizona and Arizona State is one of the most important games of the entire weekend. Why? Because the team that wins this game is likely to stay in the Pac-12 bowl ladder. The loser? Maybe yes. Maybe not. There’s definitely no doubt that both of these teams will be in some bowl game somewhere across the country, but there is a tremendous benefit to staying in the Pac-12 bowl season as opposed to being an at large team in some bowl slot that should have been filled by some team out of the ACC, the Big East, etc. The road team has won three in a row in this series, and the Sun Devils have to like the fact that they have covered two out of three in this series as well. This has been a nicely poised series over the course of the last decade or so though, and this should be a good one again.
#25 Washington Huskies (7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS) @ Washington State Cougars (2-9 SU, 4-6-1 ATS)
Spread: Washington -13.5, Total: 51
Martin Stadium, Pullman, WA – Friday, November 23rd, 3:30 ET
The Apple Cup is one of the most meaningless rivalry games on the planet at this point. It has been forever since either one of these teams have been truly relevant, and this is no exception this year. Head Coach Mike Leach badly wants to prove that he has the chance to turn this Washington State program around, and winning this game would at least be a step in the right direction. A 10-loss season won’t help anything for sure. However, Washington is a 7-4 team that has played one of the most brutal schedules in America this year, so there is no shame in any of these losses. The Cougars have won and covered four games in a row in the Apple Cup, and Head Coach Steve Sarkisian is hoping to make it a point to continue dominating this instate rivalry.
Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.
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