Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2012 NCAA football betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 4!
Florida Atlantic Owls (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ #1 Alabama Crimson Tide (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: Alabama -49.5, Total: 58
Bryant Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL – Saturday, September 22nd, 5:00 ET
Florida Atlantic has to know that it is worth nothing more than a paycheck and a beat down in this one. Whatever Alabama wants the final score to be, it will be just that. The Tide haven’t allowed a single point in over 120 minutes of football, and we would guess that the Owls would be lucky to score once, let alone enough times to keep up with an offense that is going to drop at least 30 points on likely every team that it faces this year. We will say this about the Sun Belt though, and that’s that at least the conference is beating some big time teams and sticking around with some others. This though, certainly isn’t going to be a potential upset in the making.
#2 LSU Tigers (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ Auburn Tigers (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS)
Spread: LSU -20, Total: 48.5
Jordan Hare Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA – Saturday, September 22nd, 7:00 ET
This game is billed as the first real road test in the career of QB Zach Mettenberger, but we just aren’t all that sure that it is going to be all that much of a “test.” Auburn should have lost last week to the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks, and it should be an 0-3 club when push comes to shove. Head Coach Gene Chizik just doesn’t look like he has a team that is worth all that much of anything. Meanwhile, the Bayou Bengals are up to the No. 2 team in the land, and that doesn’t seem to be changing any time soon. We’ll say this, though. The home team has won 11 of the last 12 meetings between these two teams, though you have to go back quite a long ways to see the last time that these two Tiger teams were separated by such a tremendous talent gap.
#21 Arizona Wildcats (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ #3 Oregon Ducks (3-0 SU, 0-3 ATS)
Spread: Oregon -22, Total: 78.5
Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR – Saturday, September 22nd, 10:30 ET
The Wildcats and the Ducks are going to put a lot of points on the board, and there is just no denying that fact. In fact, this is probably the highest ‘total’ that you’ll see all season long, unless this one just goes flying past the absolutely outrageous number. Arizona is hoping to prove that it is a legitimate contender for the Pac-12 title this year, especially after USC was knocked off in its first conference game of the campaign by Stanford. Meanwhile, Oregon knows that this is a game that it can’t afford to lose if it wants to stay in the National Championship picture, knowing that just one loss, especially to a team like this one, would likely end up being damning for its hopes of going all the way. This should be a fun game to watch, as it is the first big time Pac-12 challenge for Head Coach Rich Rodriguez in his new conference.
#9 Clemson Tigers (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ #4 Florida State Seminoles (3-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
Spread: Florida State -14.5, Total: 56
Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL – Saturday, September 22nd, 8:00 ET
The Seminoles are finally going to be playing a real game this year after beating up on three teams that had no business sharing the same field with them. This might be the biggest game of the year for the garnet and gold. They haven’t gone on the road yet this year, but this might be the only Top 25 team that the Noles have to play this year. Meanwhile, Clemson knows that it is going to have to win this game if it is going to be a BCS contender this year in all likelihood. QB Tajh Boyd and WR Sammy Watkins had great years last year against Florida State, but this is a much different game, knowing that QB EJ Manuel will be in the fold this year (he was injured last year), and that this game is played in Tallahassee and not South Carolina. The Noles are going to be looking for some big time revenge against the Tigers, but Clemson has a good history of playing here at the Doak.
#13 Kansas State Wildcats (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ #5 Oklahoma Sooners (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Spread: Oklahoma -14, Total: 57.5
Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK – Saturday, September 22nd, 7:50 ET
The Sooners and the Wildcats played last year when they were a combined 13-1, and the game was expected to be a bit closer than it turned out to be. Oklahoma ended up running up 35 unanswered points in the second half of the game, and the Sooners had 450 more yards than the Cats. This year though, this could be a much different game. QB Collin Klein has a lot to prove over the course of this one, knowing that he only threw for 58 yards in last year’s game. This is a game for first place in the Big XII, and it might be a big time game that goes a long way in determining whether either of these teams are going to have the capability to be in the BCS at the end of the year.
Maryland Terrapins (2-1 SU, 1-1-1 ATS) @ #7 West Virginia Mountaineers (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Spread: West Virginia -25.5, Total: 62.5
Mountaineer Field, Morgantown, WV – Saturday, September 22nd, 12:00 ET
West Virginia has really dominated this series over the course of the last several years, and it has been quite some time since the Terrapins have had any way of stopping this offense. The good news is that the Terps were able to compete in this one last year, but the Mountaineers clearly still had the better team. QB Geno Smith is putting up great numbers, and it is going to difficult to see how Maryland is going to hold him under 350 yards and hold his offense under 40 points. There’s just no way that, against any team in the land, that Maryland is going to be scoring 40+ points unless there are about 12 overtimes. Needless to say, we really don’t think that this one is going to be all that close.
Missouri Tigers (2-1 SU, 1-1-1 ATS) @ #8 South Carolina Gamecocks (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: South Carolina -10, Total: 49
Williams Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC – Saturday, September 22nd, 3:30 ET
The good news for the Tigers in this one is that they are going to be playing in Columbia. The bad news is that it’s Columbia, South Carolina, and not Columbia, Missouri. It was all fine and dandy to have Georgia coming to town to play a game against the Tigers in the ‘Zou, but this is the first SEC road game that they have played. QB James Franklin might not be playing in this game, but QB Connor Shaw is going to be back. South Carolina will be putting back its old quarterback in the fold once again, and it is a controversial move to say the least. This is an SEC East showdown, and it is a showdown that is a must-have for the Tigers if they have any BCS dreams this year. Dropping to 0-2 in conference and in division just won’t cut it, and the schedule just isn’t getting any easier from here.
Cal Golden Bears (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ #12 USC Trojans (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS)
Spread: USC -16, Total: 58
Los Angeles Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA – Saturday, September 22nd, 6:00 ET
Cal and USC already know that they have a heck of a lot of problems this year. Head Coach Lane Kiffin knows that even running the table won’t necessarily get the team in the National Championship Game, and QB Matt Barkley probably has a long, uphill climb to win the Heisman Trophy after that terrible performance last week against Stanford. Head Coach Jeff Tedford is on the hottest seat in the world, and another loss to USC, and this probably is going to be one of the final straws towards running Tedford out of Berkeley. QB Zach Maynard has a lot of work to do this week to be able to get some traction against the Men of Troy. Remember that USC has yet to cover a spread this year, and the Golden Bears really looked good against Ohio State on the road.
Kentucky Wildcats (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ #14 Florida Gators (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: Florida -24, Total: 53
Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL – Saturday, September 22nd, 12:00 ET
You have to go back two and a half decades to find the last time that Kentucky beat the Gators. The Wildcats just haven’t had all that much success in this series, and this shouldn’t be an exception. UK is already 1-2 this year, and the second of those losses came against Western Kentucky… yikes. Meanwhile, Florida is going to be happy to be back at home after spending two straight weeks on the road in the SEC. The Gators got off to a great start to the season last year and fell apart, and the home for Head Coach Will Muschamp is hoping that this year isn’t going to be more of the same. This is a game that the Gators should win and roll over the Cats en route to a potential Top 10 rating by the time the week is said and done with.
#17 Michigan Wolverines (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ #15 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: Notre Dame -5, Total: 49
Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, IN – Saturday, September 22nd, 7:30 ET
Last year was the first home game at night for the Wolverines, and it was one to remember when Notre Dame came to town. Michigan took the lead with just over a minute to play, blew the lead, and then won it at the end. The last four games in this series have all ended in four point victories for Big Blue, and this might not be an exception. These two teams are both very much so National Championship contenders, though both teams know that they have to run the table from here to get the job done, and maybe that won’t do it either. QB Denard Robinson and QB Everett Golson are going to have their work cut out for them against defenses that are certainly underrated. This will be a heck of a game, and it will be one of the outstanding prime time college football betting affairs in Week 4.
Virginia Cavaliers (2-1 SU, 0-2-1 ATS) @ #16 TCU Horned Frogs (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Spread: TCU -18.5, Total: 54
Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX – Saturday, September 22nd, 12:00 ET
TCU and Virginia have met before, but since that point in 2009, both of these teams have come a tremendously long way. The Cavaliers are now at least expecting to be in a bowl game year in and year out, and TCU is now in the Big XII and is amongst the big boys instead of just being that proverbial fly in the ointment. QB Casey Pachall knows that he is going to be under the gun in this one against a great Virginia defense that has a lot to prove after getting trashed last week by the triple option of Georgia Tech. This could be a very interesting game on the college football betting odds.
Louisville Cardinals (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ Florida International Golden Panthers (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Spread: Louisville -13.5, Total: 54
FIU Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, FL – Saturday, September 22nd, 7:00 ET
The Cardinals were beaten last year by the Golden Panthers at Papa John’s Stadium, and the time could be here for some big time revenge. Louisville is clearly the better of these two teams, and a heck of a lot has changed since last year. QB Teddy Bridgewater was still watching on the bench instead of playing in that game, and the men that did almost all of the damage for the Golden Panthers, QB Wesley Carroll and WR T.Y. Hilton are both gone at this point. Head Coach Mario Cristobal has his work cut out for him to figure out how to put together the horses to beat the Cardinals for the second straight year. If not, Louisville is going to run just all over FIU, and it is going to prove to be a great trip to the Sunshine State for the Cards.
Oregon State Beavers (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) @ #19 UCLA Bruins (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Spread: UCLA -7, Total: 52
Rose Bowl Stadium, Los Angeles, CA – Saturday, September 22nd, 3:30 ET
This has been a point spread that has been dropping all week long. UCLA was once a double digit favorite, and by the time this one kicks off, it might be under a touchdown. Oregon State has only played one game, and that’s the only problem that we have right now. The win over Wisconsin was great, but no one has allowed much in the way of points to the Badgers this year. QB Brett Hundley has done everything right in his first three starts with the Bruins, and he is quickly rounding into one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the nation. Is it too early for Heisman Trophy talks? For a frosh, yes it is. But if this is a game that is won, and UCLA can get in the Top 15 in the land because of Hundley, perhaps it might not be all that farfetched after all.
Eastern Michigan Eagles (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS) @ #20 Michigan State Spartans (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Spread: Michigan State -32, Total: 48.5
Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI – Saturday, September 22nd, 3:30 ET
The Eagles were supposed to be able to compete this year for the MAC title, but all of a sudden, they are off to an 0-3 start, including losing to an FCS team. That being said, it just seems like it’s back to the same old, same old for Eastern Michigan. Meanwhile, Michigan State’s offense has had a miserable start to the season as well, and QB Andrew Maxwell might be able to finally bust out in this one. He’d better, because last week, Michigan State wasn’t just beaten, but beaten badly by Notre Dame. The locals in East Lansing aren’t going to be receptive to Maxwell if he struggles in this one, as this just isn’t a team that Sparty should be even remotely struggling with.
South Alabama Jaguars (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ #23 Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: Mississippi State -34, Total: 49
Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS – Saturday, September 22nd, 7:00 ET
Here we go again with a team from the Sun Belt going against a team from the SEC. Last week, Mississippi State got into the Top 25 by beating the Troy Trojans on the road, a game that proved to be quite tough. South Alabama does have a win to its credit, but this isn’t likely to be a game in which it figures out how to stay competitive in. QB Tyler Russell and WR Chad Bumphis have really gotten this offense going this year, and RB LaDarius Perkins is having a solid year as well. These three should have no troubles putting at least 400 yards up against a South Alabama defense that hasn’t played well for the mass majority of the season.
UTEP Miners (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ #24 Wisconsin Badgers (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS)
Spread: Wisconsin -18, Total: 51
Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI – Saturday, September 22nd, 12:00 ET
The Badgers haven’t had any success getting the ball up the field against anyone this year, and that might not change this week when they take on the Miners. Remember that UTEP has already done a nice job of sticking around Oklahoma from the first week of the season, though this might be a tougher battle. One would like to think that the Badgers, who are really stunningly close to being 0-3 in spite of the fact that they haven’t played a good team this year, are going to figure out how to get their acts together at some point… right? Just remember that someone has to represent that division in the Big Ten Championship Game, and it can’t be Ohio State or Penn State…
Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.
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