Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2012 NCAA football betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 6!
Washington Huskies (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) @ #2 Oregon Ducks (5-0 SU, 1-4 ATS)
Spread: Oregon -24, Total: 65
Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR – Saturday, October 6th, 10:30 ET
The Ducks have already beaten the snot out of a team of similar stature this year in Arizona, while Washington has already been crushed by a team ranked in the Top 5 in the country on the road in LSU. So why should this game be any different? The argument could be made that it shouldn’t be different, especially knowing how badly QB Keith Price and the U-Dub offense have struggled this year. Oregon has won eight in a row in this series and is 7-0-1 ATS in those games, so Head Coach Steve Sarkisian and the Huskies know that their time close to the Top 25 (and in the Top 25 in the AP Poll) are both going to be short lived without a bit of a miracle in Autzen Stadium. The defense for Washington is going to have to find some way to slow down one of the best offenses that the game has to offer.
#3 LSU Tigers (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS) @ #11 Florida Gators (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Spread: LSU -2.5, Total: 44
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL – Saturday, October 6th, 3:30 ET
Head Coach Will Muschamp knows that this is the most important game that he has ever coached in his career. It is a chance to get his Gators in the Top 10 (and maybe even Top 5) in the country at the expense of an SEC rival that figures to challenge for the National Championship. The team would be in the driver’s seat in the SEC East as well, and Florida would know that it would know that it could possibly survive a loss to Georgia or South Carolina and still win the SEC East. LSU meanwhile, is still trying to keep pace in the SEC West with Alabama, and a win in this game might get it back up to the No. 2 team in the country after falling over the course of the last two weeks after a couple of subpar performances. LSU has won and covered two in a row in this series since QB Tim Tebow left for the NFL, including last year’s 41-11 romp in Baton Rouge.
#4 Florida State Seminoles (5-0 SU, 2-2 ATS) @ NC State Wolfpack (3-2 SU, 1-3-1 ATS)
Spread: Florida State -15, Total: 55
Carter Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC – Saturday, October 6th, 8:00 ET
Carter Finley Stadium has always treated the Seminoles rudely. National Championships and ACC titles have been lost on this field for the men in garnet and gold, and Head Coach Jimbo Fisher is going to be reminding his team of that all week long. NC State already has one loss in conference play, and a second would take it out of the running for the ACC Championship this year. The Noles know that they have a game of safety on Clemson after winning in Tallahassee two weeks ago, but they won’t want that lead to evaporate already with some tough games still on tap on the road in conference play. This is only one of the three times all year that Florida State has to leave the Sunshine State for a game. The Wolfpack had gone 9-0-1 ATS and 5-5 SU in the last 10 in this series dating back to 2001 before Florida State whooped them 34-0 at Doak Campbell Stadium last year.
#5 Georgia Bulldogs (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS) @ #6 South Carolina Gamecocks (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Spread: South Carolina -2, Total: 55
Williams Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC – Saturday, October 6th, 7:00 ET
The implication is there that the game between Georgia and South Carolina might be for the SEC East crown. Of course, that implication was there last year as well, but the Gamecocks were able to win that game in Athens and still didn’t represent the East in the SEC Championship Game. Yes, the ties between these two run very, very deep, and there are obviously both national and regional implications for the winner and loser of this one. The loser is likely out of the running for the BCS National Championship, and for South Carolina, this one is all the more important. The Gamecocks still have a brutal schedule in the SEC that includes going to LSU next week. This game absolutely has to be won, because that one will likely be lost, and Georgia isn’t losing three in the SEC without having to play LSU or Alabama this year. The Cocks have won two in a row and have gone 4-0-1 ATS in the last five in this series, something that might ultimately put Head Coach Mark Richt in a position to lose his job if that trend continues on Saturday night.
#7 West Virginia Mountaineers (4-0 SU, 1-3 ATS) @ #9 Texas Longhorns (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Spread: Texas -6.5, Total: 75
Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin TX – Saturday, October 6th, 7:00 ET
Both West Virginia and Texas survived huge games last week against big time foes, and now, they are going to meet to decide which team is going to have a massive upper hand in the Big XII this year. The loser, just as is the case in the South Carolina/Georgia game, will likely see their National Championship dreams go up in flames, but the winner still has a lot of work to do as well, knowing that there are just a ton of teams that are really, really good in this conference. QB Geno Smith is coming off of his record setting day against Baylor last week when he threw for over 600 yards and eight touchdowns. These two teams have never met on the gridiron before. This is also West Virginia’s first road game in the Big XII ever.
Kansas Jayhawks (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS) @ #8 Kansas State Wildcats (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Spread: Kansas State -24, Total: 53
Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS – Saturday, October 6th, 12:00 ET
The beneficiary of the fact that there are so many teams playing in the Top 10 against one another is going to be Kansas State, which has a de facto bye week here against its instate rivals from Kansas. The Cats figure to jump up to at least No. 7 with a win in this one, and maybe even higher depending upon which teams win and whether anyone else gets upset. The Jayhawks meanwhile, have been terrible to start the campaign, and the threat is there that they might not win another game this year. Would that already put Head Coach Charlie Weis on the hot seat? We tend to think so. This has been an ugly series over the course of the last few years. K-State has three wins and covers in a row, and it has won the last two meetings by the aggregate score of 118-28 with both games coming in Lawrence.
Miami Hurricanes (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) @ #10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Spread: Notre Dame -12.5, Total: 51.5
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL – Saturday, October 6th, 7:30 ET
The Irish are now in the Top 10 in the country, and they’ll have a long way to move up if they can win this one in convincing fashion against “The U.” Miami meanwhile, has quietly won four games this year, and the last two have been dramatic, offensive slug fests that have gone right down to the wire. The Hurricanes could be back in the Top 25 in the second year for Head Coach Al Golden if this one is won. Notre Dame might not be a legitimate National Championship contender quite yet, but there are still some really tough games ahead for sure as well. This is an old school battle in a series that hasn’t gone on since 1990, but these two teams did meet back in the 2010 Sun Bowl, a game that was won by the Golden Domers 33-17. This should be a classic battle between two great teams at Soldier Field, where the Irish should have a huge home field advantage even though the game isn’t being played in South Bend.
#12 USC Trojans (3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS) @ Utah Utes (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Spread: USC -13.5, Total: 47.5
Rice Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT – Thursday, October 5th, 9:00 ET
Being a favored Top 25 team in the Pac-12 this year has been a terror. USC has already been beaten by Stanford, UCLA has already been beaten by Oregon State, and Stanford has already been beaten by Washington. Even this Utah team was favored against Utah State when that game was lost a few weeks ago as well. Could it be time for the Trojans to fall again? It doesn’t seem all that likely, as the Utes certainly have a disadvantage in this one in terms of sheer talent. But does USC really want to come out and play? That’s the real question. If they do, the Trojans have one of the best teams in the land. But if they just sleepwalk, as they basically have over the course of the first four games of the campaign, they could be tripped for a second time. These two teams have only met three times, and Utah has held strong, going 2-1 ATS in spite of just a 1-2 SU record, and the only failed attempt at a cover was a game that should have been won in LA if not for a blocked kick that was returned for a touchdown to end the game and cover the spread.
Iowa State Cyclones (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) @ #13 TCU Horned Frogs (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS)
Spread: TCU -11, Total: 45.5
Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX – Saturday, October 6th, 3:30 ET
It’s just another big time game in the Big XII, though it clearly is the undercard game to the Texas/West Virginia tussle in Austin. TCU definitely has a team to be reckoned with this year, though this is going to be a tough game in the Lone Star State against an Iowa State team that is probably underrated. The Cyclones nearly made it to the Top 25 before falling last week to Texas Tech, but they probably could crack the polls with an upset here in Fort Worth. TCU is 3-0 SU and ATS to show for its work in this series, with the most recent game actually being a bowl game in 2005. The Horned Frogs were the de facto home team in that game, and they also own victories from both games of a home and home series played in 1995 and 1998 between these two teams that now share the Big XII together.
#14 Oklahoma Sooners (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ #24 Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)
Spread: Oklahoma -5.5, Total: 58
Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX – Saturday, October 6th, 3:30 ET
The Red Raiders are back in the Top 25, but their stay is going to be short if they can’t figure out how to pull off the upset of the Sooners here in Lubbock. The guns were up last year when these two met in Norman though, so consider that a warning shot for an Oklahoma team that is coming in off of a bye week and a loss to Kansas State. A second loss would end any hopes of a National Championship, and the truth of the matter is that it would probably end any hope for a BCS bid as well, as the Big XII title would probably be out of reach, and there will probably be just too many teams in front of it to grab an at large as well. The home team had won and covered five in a row in this series before last year’s shocking upset, and that’s a trend that the Sooners are going to have to hope disappears before their season goes up in flames.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) @ #15 Clemson Tigers (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS)
Spread: Clemson -10, Total: 74
Clemson Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC – Saturday, October 6th, 3:30 ET
Georgia Tech really has done nothing right this year save for beat the snot out of Virginia, and the end result is likely to be a fourth loss already, just halfway through the season. There is a real possibility that the Yellow Jackets might ultimately not make a bowl game if they can’t turn this around, and that’s a shame for a team that figured to challenge for the ACC Coastal Division title this year. Meanwhile over in Clemson, the Tigers are still competing both for a spot in the BCS and the Atlantic Division crown, but a loss in this one would be devastating. Florida State already has to lose twice for the Tigers to get back into it. Asking the Noles to lose three would be far too much at this point. History is on the side of the Ramblin’ Wreck, who have won five of the last six and seven of the last nine in this series, though that has only yielded a 5-4 ATS record in those nine games.
Washington State Cougars (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS) @ #17 Oregon State Beavers (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Spread: Oregon State -15.5, Total: 58
Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR – Saturday, October 6th, 3:30 ET
The Cougars and the Beavers were figured to be at the bottom of the Pac-12 this year, but that just hasn’t been the case, at least at the outset. Oregon State has played three teams that have been ranked in the Top 25 at some point, and it has wins in all three games, and there should be no doubt about a bowl game at this point. Washington State meanwhile, has to hope that it can steal this one and pull off a few more upsets along the way if it wants to get back to a bowl game in the first year for Head Coach Mike Leach, though we all know that that isn’t likely to happen. The Cougs are only 1-3 ATS in this series, though the road team has won three in a row, including when they pulled off a 31-14 upset as 23.5-point underdogs in 2010 here at Reser Stadium.
Arizona Wildcats (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) @ #18 Stanford Cardinal (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS)
Spread: Stanford -9, Total: 54
Stanford Stadium, Palo Alto, CA – Saturday, October 6th, 3:00 ET
Arizona has been involved in a heck of a lot of games involving Top 25 teams over the course of the start of the season, but after back to back losses, it has quite some time until it has a shot to get back in the polls once again. Head Coach Rich Rodriguez would probably just take a bowl bid at this point. Stanford is coming off of a bad loss to Washington on the road on national television, and it gets to get back out of the spotlight once again when it takes on Arizona in this game. QB Josh Nunes might be playing for his job, as he has come under a lot of fire for an offense that has really struggled at times this year. The Cardinal have won seven of the last nine SU in this series, and it also holds a 7-2 ATS edge over the Wildcats as well.
#19 Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS) @ Kentucky Wildcats (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS)
Spread: Mississippi State -10, Total: 46
Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, KY – Saturday, October 6th, 12:21 ET
For the second straight week, Kentucky gets to host a team that is ranked in the Top 25 in the country, and for the second straight week, it figures to get its butt kicked. Mississippi State is charging right now to what looks to be a 5-0 start to the season, and all of a sudden, Head Coach Dan Mullen might see his team as a permanent fixture in the Top 25. Remember that the only games that this team has lost of late came to Alabama, LSU, and Arkansas, whom were ranked Nos. 1, 2, and 3 in the country once upon a time last year before they beat each other up. The last time that Mississippi State lost a game outside of the Top 25 was back in 2009. MSU has captured three straight both SU and ATS in this series, which is a bit of a duh statement considering how many wins against unranked foes that the Bulldogs have accounted for of late.
#20 Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) @ Ohio State Buckeyes (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Spread: Ohio State -3, Total: 58
Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH – Saturday, October 6th, 8:00 ET
Don’t get used to seeing a lot of these Top 25 games coming out of the Big Ten if the Buckeyes figure out how to win this game. Ohio State is ineligible for the USA Today Top 25 because of its postseason ban, and it is trying to do the best job possible to make sure that the rest of the teams in the Big Ten stay out of the Top 25 as well. Michigan State was knocked out of the polls last week, and Nebraska would be the next team to take the job if the chalk held up in Columbus. A win here for the Huskers would give them a common win that Michigan State already doesn’t have and Michigan doesn’t figure to get, which would give them the big time upper hand in the Legends Division should those three teams all go 1-1 against each other. Nebraska won the game last year 34-27 when these teams met for the first time as conference foes in Lincoln, but the Buckeyes were able to cover the 10-point spread.
Connecticut Huskies (3-2 SU, 1-2-2 ATS) @ #21 Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS)
Spread: Rutgers -8, Total: 40.5
High Points Solutions Stadium, Piscataway, NJ – Saturday, October 6th, 12:00 ET
This definitely won’t be a game for the faint of heart, though most Big East games won’t be this year. Rutgers and Connecticut are going to both run the heck out of the football and make sure to keep the clock running, and that translates into a low scoring affair. Both teams are hoping to pick up an early win in conference play in the Big East, a grouping that figures to count how many games you’ve won, not how many you’ve lost. This has been a series that has mostly belonged to UConn, as it has a 7-2-1 ATS record in the 10 meetings that these two have had since being joined together in the Big East. However, Rutgers does have five SU victories to show for its work in that time, another further testament to just how close a number of these Big East games are.
#22 Northwestern Wildcats (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) @ Penn State Nittany Lions (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Spread: Penn State -3, Total: 49
Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA – Saturday, October 6th, 12:00 ET
Just how much respect do the oddsmakers have for Northwestern? This is a Top 25 team that is 5-0 SU and is the only 5-0 ATS team in America, and yet it is a three-point underdog on the road in Happy Valley against a Penn State team that lost to Ohio and Virginia to start off the campaign. Yuck. As it is, the Wildcats might be the only hope for the Big Ten to keep a Top 25 team this week if Nebraska ends up losing, and there is a legitimate threat that no one will be ranked when this one is over with (though the Michigan/Purdue winner is likely to see its name in the rankings). Penn State is just playing the spoiler role like Ohio State is, and the Nittany Lions have won and covered four in a row in this series. All four victories have come by double digits.
Miami Redhawks (3-2 SU, 1-4 ATS) @ #23 Cincinnati Bearcats (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: Cincinnati -20.5, Total: 58.5
Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH – Saturday, October 6th, 7:00 ET
Another lousy game in the Big East that really has little merit to anything. The Redhawks are a 3-2 team, but they merely are looking forward to winning three more games and becoming bowl eligible. Then again, in the MAC, that often isn’t good enough, though with Penn State, Ohio State, and North Carolina ineligible, there are going to be MAC and Sun Belt teams that are rejoicing as a result. The Bearcats are hoping for a bowl bid, too… a BCS bowl. Of course, this game will do absolutely nothing to help or hurt that cause, because the Big East is a one-bid league to the BCS one way or the other, and winning those conference games will be all that matters. These two do have a regular rivalry with one another, one that not surprisingly has been dominated by the Bearcats. UC has won six straight in this series and is 5-1 ATS in those six games. The only cover came when Miami was a 29.5-point underdog, though this is the biggest point spread that this series has seen in over a decade.
#25 Boise State Broncos (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) @ Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Spread: Boise State -11, Total: 47
M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS – Saturday, October 6th, 12:00 ET
Boise State is a Top 25 team that probably isn’t all that fantastic, but thanks to the lack of a schedule the rest of the way, it could be headed to the BCS if it can survive road tests like this one. Remember though, that the Broncos are going to be playing this game at 9:00 a.m. local time, which should be a big advantage for the Golden Eagles if they can figure out how to exploit it. Of course, SMS has been a disaster this year ever since the departure of Head Coach Larry Fedora, and this game really should be no exception. This was once billed as a big time battle, just as it was in 2007 and 2008 when these two teams were both battling for the BCS. Boise State won both games and covered both with ease, and it feels like this is going to be no exception whatsoever.
Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.
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