(10-4, 7-7 ATS in 2009)
(2-10, 4-7-1 ATS in 2009)
Another potential BCS busting team starts off its regular season on Monday afternoon in college football betting action. As an appetizer for the night’s main event, the Navy Midshipmen will kick it off against the Maryland Terrapins.
The Middies are going to try to produce another double digit win season this year, and with the number of returners that they have on both sides of the ball, we aren’t going to doubt them. QB Ricky Dobbs is a senior now and is ready to prove that he is one of the most versatile quarterbacks in the nation. No, throwing for 1,031 yards and six TDs against three picks isn’t the most impressive thing in the world, but Dobbs, just like every other option quarterback, made a name for himself on the ground last year. He rushed for 27 touchdowns, the most in the nation, and picked up 1,203 yards. Expect Dobbs to handle the rock at least 30 times in this game between passes and runs, as he averaged 22.5 carries per game last year. Both RBs Vince Murray and Marcus Curry are back as well, and both might be able to threaten the 100+ yard mark if the Terrapins don’t shore up what was a porous rush defense at times last season.
If not for the Virginia Cavaliers, the Terps might have had the worst team in the ACC this season. They were held under 20 points six times last season, including four times in their final six last year. Things might improve with time for Maryland, as there are only 16 seniors that are going to be on the entire roster on opening day. QB Jamarr Robinson is going to take over for the departed Chris Turner under center this season. Robinson is clearly a dual threat, as he threw for 459 yards and rushed for 229 more last season in limited work. Last season was a tough one for RB Da’Rel Scott as well, as he missed a slew of time injured. He was a 1,100+ yard rusher two seasons ago, and now that he is a senior, Scott is expected to have a good season. He probably won’t find much running room against a stout Navy front seven, though. The real problems might occur on defense, where a very, very young unit is going to have to try to stop one of the most difficult offenses to prepare for in the entire nation.
Maryland hasn’t won a game since October 3rd a year ago, and it took it overtime to beat James Madison from the FCS last year at home as well. Things just haven’t improved enough for us to believe that the Terps can really hang with one of the best mid-major offenses in the nation. The triple option should confuse this team no matter how athletic it really is, and the end result could be a huge disappointment to start the season for the faithful in College Park.
Selection: Navy Midshipmen -6