(7-0, 3-4 ATS)
(7-0, 4-3 ATS)
There might not be a more important game in the SEC all season long, so college football betting fans certainly won’t want to miss this one. We’ll make our NCAA football picks in the duel between the LSU Tigers and Auburn Tigers, both of which are vying for first place in the SEC West and the right to keep their name in the hat for the BCS National Championship this year.
If the Tigers stand any chance of coming on the road and winning this game, it is going to take a heck of a defensive effort. This is a team that allowed 21 points in a single quarter against the North Carolina Tar Heels in the opening game of the season and didn’t allow a team to score more than 14 points against them in a game for the next month. The Florida Gators legitimately scored three TDs against LSU as well. However, aside from that, there has just been nothing there for opposing teams. On the ground, the Bayou Bengals are allowing just 83.6 yards per game. Through the air, only 158.6. The 14.4 points per game average is good enough to be No. 11 in the country, but no one is going to be fooled by that. This is one of the best defenses in the land. RB Steven Ridley wasn’t used all that much in his first two years in Baton Rouge, but he certainly has a job now. The young man from Mississippi scored twice last week against McNeese State and has dominated at times this season, rushing for 687 yards and six scores.
Auburn’s version of the Tigers have seemingly had nine lives this year. They escaped this year against Mississippi State, Clemson, South Carolina, Kentucky, and now Arkansas. However, they know that the coast is relatively clear after this one for awhile if they can survive, as games against the Ole Miss Rebels and Georgia Bulldogs shouldn’t be killers, and there will be two weeks to prepare for the Iron Bowl on November 26th. Sometimes it seems as though the only man that can keep this team alive is QB Cam Newton, who all of a sudden has become the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy this year. Newton has never faced a defense like this though, as he will be seeing speed on the other side of the ball like he won’t see again until that game with the Alabama Crimson Tide. Newton has rushed for 860 yards and thrown for 1,278 this year. He has had four games with at least 170 yards on the ground, including last week in the 65-43 win over the Arkansas Razorbacks. The fear for Auburn though, is that it was exposed last week as a fraud. In its L/4 games against FBS schools, the Tigers have averaged allowing 32.0 points per game, numbers that aren’t going to cut it for a potential National Championship contender.
Say goodbye to both Auburn and Newton’s Heisman Trophy dreams on Saturday. You can only survive so many times in college football before you get picked off by a team that is quite frankly better than you are, and that’s exactly what is going to happen to Auburn on Saturday afternoon. The Bayou Bengals will the kings of the jungle in this Tiger tale on Saturday.
College Football Free Pick: LSU Tigers +5.5