(5-2, 4-3 ATS)
(3-4, 4-3 ATS)
Miami proved us wrong last week by rolling over the North Carolina Tar Heels 33-10 at home. However, there’s something about QB Jacory Harris and this offense that is disturbing us this year. This should be one of the best offenses in the country, as there is a ton of talent to work with that is starting to come of age. However, “The U” only has mediocre rankings across the board, coming in somewhere between No. 46 and No. 54 in the nation in virtually every major offensive category. Harris has thrown ten INTs this year, far too many for a man that was expected to compete for a Heisman Trophy this season, and his 53.9 completion percentage is simply unacceptable. One man that is having a great year and probably setting himself up to make a lot of money at the next level is WR Leonard Hankerson. This man has 38 catches, 591 yards, and a team high eight scores on the season, and has proven to be incredibly explosive every time that he touches the pigskin. The Canes absolutely cannot fall asleep at the wheel in this one, or any hope of winning the ACC Coastal Division will be out the window.
Virginia looks like a decent team on paper at 3-4, but just a slight look closer into its schedule shows otherwise. The Cavs have gotten killed by the Florida State Seminoles, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, and North Carolina Tar Heels already in conference play this year, and save a 17-14 loss to the USC Trojans, there really hasn’t been much to write home about. No one really cares about wins against Richmond, VMI, and Eastern Michigan, but at least they are wins that can be talked about in the newspapers. There is at least somewhat of a chance to go bowling, though. An upset on Saturday might leave QB Marc Verica and the crew favored in each of its next three games as well. It would take winning all four to get the job done, but it’s at least fathomable. Considering how soft this schedule has been this year though, it’s hard to see how the Cavaliers are stopping anyone on the ground. This team ranks just No. 114 in the country in rush defense at a whopping 211.4 yards per game allowed, and Miami has to be licking its chops going up against that. RB Keith Payne is a real workhorse on the other side of the ball though, as he has 471 rushing yards and ten TDs to lead the team in both categories this season.
Miami really put a half-hearted effort into its last road game at the Duke Blue Devils, and we aren’t so sure that the effort is going to be there in this one either. The Canes know that their season legitimately starts with the game at the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in a few weeks, and just sneaking by with wins until that point is good enough. We’ll take the boatload of points.
College Football Free Pick: Virginia Cavaliers +15