(5-4, 5-4 ATS)
Bowling Green Falcons
(2-7, 5-4 ATS)
If the Miami Redhawks have any hope of going to a bowl game this year, they are going to have to play well on Wednesday night on the road at the Bowling Green Falcons in a nationally televised contest.
Miami has a major issue right now. The MAC only gets three bowl tie ins, and in all likelihood, it will only be a 6-6 team if it wins this one when the season is said and done. Unless there aren’t enough teams across the country to fill bowl slots, no one will take the Redhawks with a resume like this. Any wins are good ones right now. The MAC East is still up in the air as well, as the Temple Owls and Ohio Bobcats each have just one loss in conference on the season, the same marks as the Redhawks. This is the second of three straight road games for Miami, which has already played five games on the road this year with varying degrees of success. It nearly pulled off the shocker of all shockers at the Florida Gators to start the season, but was pounded by both the Missouri Tigers and Cincinnati Bearcats. However, in conference play, both the Central Michigan Chippewas and Buffalo Bulls have fallen without much incident. The ball is going to be in the hands of QB Zac Dysert, just as it has been all season long. Dysert has already thrown a whopping 319 passes this year in just nine games, and he is completing 63.6 percent of them for 2,185 yards and 12 TDs.
Bowling Green is going to be slinging the pigskin all over the field on Wednesday night as well, as it ranks dead last in the nation in rushing at 62.3 yards per game and might be without RB Willie Geter, who is nursing an ankle injury. Geter did reach the 100 yard rushing mark two weeks ago in an astounding upset over Central Michigan in Mount Pleasant, which snapped a five game losing streak. The defense was the key though, as this unit averaged allowing right at 40.0 points per game on that losing streak, and the offense, which has suffered a number of injuries this year, just hasn’t been able to keep up. The good news is that QB Matt Schilz is as healthy as he has been all season long. The frosh has had a hard time replacing the departed QB Tyler Sheehan this year, as he is only averaging 5.7 yards per pass attempt and only has a TD/INT ratio of 5/9 on the season. It seems remotely possible that WR Kamar Jorden could become a 1,000 yard receiver this season, following in the footsteps of the departed WR Freddie Barnes from last year. Jorden has 75 catches for 819 yards and three tuddies in 2010.
The Falcons might be as healthy as they have been all year, but they aren’t the better team in this game. The Redhawks really deserve a bowl game, and a win in a nationally televised game in a big way will really help out the cause. This is a very short NCAA football spread, and we think that the competitors in the MAC West will keep their postseason hopes alive by beating a hapless bunch of Falcons.
College Football Free Pick: Miami Redhawks -2.5