Point spread by VietBet: Alabama -4.5
The Alabama Crimson Tide face their second straight test on their road to a potential shot at a national title this Saturday night when they travel to Gainesville to take on the Florida Gators in a huge SEC showdown. Game time is scheduled for 8 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast on ESPN.
Alabama passed its first major test of the season with flying colors after running over then-No.14 Arkansas 38-14 as an 11-point home favorite this past Saturday. The total went ‘over’ the 49.5-point line. This win raised its record on the year to 4-0 straight-up and 3-1 against the spread.
The Tide remains the third-ranked team in the country behind a punishing ground game that is averaging 230.8 yards a game and a stingy defense that is giving up an average of just eight points a game. Running backs Trent Richardson and Eddie Lacy have combined for 806 yards rushing and 12 touchdowns on 108 carries.
Florida comes into this one 4-0 both SU and ATS after crushing Kentucky 48-10 as a 17.5-point road favorite this past Saturday. This followed a 33-23 win over Tennessee as a 10-point home favorite to runs its record in the SEC to 2-0 SU (1-0-1 ATS). The total went ‘over’ in both of those games.
The Gators are almost a mirror-image of Alabama with an offense that is averaging 259 yards-a-game on the ground and a defense that is giving up an average of just nine points a game. Their dynamic duo of Chris Rainey and Jeff Demps have combined for 731 yards rushing and six scores on 97 attempts.
Alabama is 6-2 against the spread in its last eight games and the total has gone ‘over’ in three of its last five games. It is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 road games.
Florida is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games, but just 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight games against a team with a winning record. The total has gone ‘over’ in three of its last five games.
Head-to-head in this series, the Tide have won five of the last seven games SU and are 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of the last eight games. Look for another low-scoring affair with Alabama outgaining the Gators on the ground to grind out the win.
NCAA Football Free Pick: Alabama 17 Florida 10
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