NCAA Football – Week 3
Points are expected to hit the board in bunches this week on the NCAA football odds, where the Missouri Tigers duke it out with the Arizona State Sun Devils at Faurot Field on Saturday night.
The Sun Devils have gotten off to a 2-0 start to their season, but they really haven’t taken on all that much in the way of competition to date. This is going to be their toughest game of the year to date, as it is the first road game and the first game against a team that is going to likely be in a bowl this year. QB Taylor Kelly has thrown for 496 yards thus far on the campaign, and he has a pair of TDs and no picks. More impressive is the fact that he is averaging over 11.5 yards per pass attempt, though we know that those numbers just aren’t going to stay the case. ASU is averaging over 530 yards per game this year as well, and again, we know that that is going to decrease as the campaign goes on. This was supposed to be an offense that really fell off after losing QB Brock Osweiler last year to the NFL, but first year Head Coach Todd Graham really has his men moving in his first two games.
The Tigers found themselves outmatched in the second half last week by the Georgia Bulldogs in their first ever game as members of the SEC. That being said, they played a better game defensively than 41 points allowed suggests, and we know that QB James Franklin could have made fewer mistakes that could have made the game a heck of a lot different. There were a ton of nerves as well, as there were a lot of snaps that were just badly off the mark from center, and we would hope that that is going to change this time around. Still, one can’t deny the fact that there were only 20 points put up against Georgia, and though the defense did better than it looked on the final tally, there is no way that scoring just 20 is going to cut it against the mass majority of teams in the SEC.
College Football Pick:
This ‘total’ is just too high. Arizona State’s offense can’t possibly be that much better than Graham’s offense was last year at Pittsburgh, and that means that we can probably expect a lot more games in the 40s and 50s than the 60s and 70s. This should be one of those games in which we see the scoring regulate itself, and we should see this one get no higher than the mid-50s or so on average. Missouri 30 – Arizona State 24