NCAA Football Free Pick: LSU Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks



LSU Tigers
(10-1, 5-6 ATS)

Arkansas Razorbacks
(9-2, 8-3 ATS)

The LSU Tigers and Arkansas Razorbacks play for the Golden Boot each and every year, and this year’s battle will be intense, as both teams in this college football betting affair in Little Rock are ranked in the Top 12 in the nation, and both are hoping that they can swipe bids to the BCS.

Heck, the Bayou Bengals think they are going to the BCS Championship Game if they can win this one, and though there is going to be a ton of ground to make up on both the Boise State Broncos and TCU Horned Frogs, the human polls could very much so influence whether LSU is going to be a National Championship team or not this year. The Tigers have done their job, beating every team on the slate this year save for the Auburn Tigers, and they have rightfully built up a very, very impressive resume. We’re still trying to figure out how they’ve done it, though. This is still a team that ranks No. 108 in the land in passing and is averaging just 29.8 points per game on the season. However, it seems like every single time the defense lets this team down (and there aren’t many instances of that), the offense finds a way to make just a few more plays to win games. The boys from Baton Rouge have dropped 94 points in their L/2 games, though this clash with Arkansas is going to be significantly harder than home dates with the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks and the Ole Miss Rebels.

Arkansas knows that a BCS bowl game is probably out of the question at this point, but the argument could at least be made with a resounding victory in Little Rock. It’s really, really hard to contest the fact that the Hogs have won five in a row both SU and ATS and have averaged 44.8 points per game in doing so. With a similar number and a very impressive win on Saturday, anything can happen in the computers, especially since LSU has some great rankings. We have to give QB Ryan Mallett all the credit in the world for figuring out how to just keep getting better and better with each passing game even though his top receiver, WR Greg Childs, is out for the season. Mallett has thrown for 3,272 yards and 27 TDs this year, and the possibility is there, with two big games, that he can reach the 4,000 yard mark in his senior season for the Razorbacks. RB Knile Davis is a 1,000 yard rusher as well, and he is probably the least recognizable figure with 1,000 yards this year in the nation. Davis has rumbled for 1,031 yards and 12 TDs.

On paper, Arkansas just looks like too much for the Tigers to handle. Then again, so did the Alabama Crimson Tide… and so did the Florida Gators… and so did the North Carolina Tar Heels… and so did… and the list goes on and on… At some point, we have to realize that HC Les Miles just has a knack for winning, and we love coaches like this, especially when they’re underdogs in rivalry games that could easily swing either way.

College Football Expert Pick: LSU Tigers +3.5

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