NCAA Men’s Basketball Betting Guide- January 9
The 2011/2012 men’s college basketball season is in full swing with the start of conference play as every team in Division I continues to its quest to secure a spot in this year’s NCAA Tournament. With more than enough statistical information on all of the teams, it also becomes evident as to which teams have provided a solid return on investment this season and which ones have been a major drain on the bankroll.
This guide will single-out a few teams that are definitely worth a hard look when it comes to wagering on the games given their current performance against the spread.
Starting with the major conferences, one of the biggest surprises so far has been the No.12 Indiana Hoosiers, out of the Big Ten. They were not expected to be a major factor in the conference race this season, but have made their presence felt with a 15-1 record straight-up overall and a 3-1 SU start in Big Ten play including a 74-70 victory over then-No.2 Ohio State on Dec.31 as five-point home underdogs. Earlier in the season, the Hoosiers stunned then-No.1 Kentucky 73-72 as 5.5-point home underdogs. Indiana did fail to cover as a favorite in recent victories over No. 13 Michigan and Penn State, but it is still a very profitable 8-3 ATS overall and 5-1 ATS at home. The total has gone ‘over’ in eight of its 11 games.
The next major program that has been a financial boon so far is the Big East’s Seton Hall Pirates. Last Tuesday, they stunned then-No.8 Connecticut 75-63 as three-point home underdogs and followed it up this past Saturday with a 66-57 victory over Providence as 2.5-point road favorites. The Pirates are now 14-2 SU and 9-3 ATS. Seton Hall is 5-1 ATS at home this season and 6-1 ATS in its last seven games overall. The total has gone 5-7 in 12 games this year.
The third money-maker from a major conference is the LSU Tigers from the SEC. They are 8-1 SU in their last nine games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight. Overall, the Tigers are 11-4 SU and a profitable 9-3 ATS. The total has stayed ‘under’ in nine of their 12 games with a posted line. They are just 3-3 ATS at home this season, but a perfect 3-0 ATS on the road.
A couple of other profitable teams from the major conferences are the No.1-ranked Syracuse Orange, also out of the Big East and the No.10 Michigan State Spartans, from the Big Ten. The Orange extended their winning streak to 17 games with a 73-66 victory over No.20 Marquette this past Saturday, but could not cover as 11.5-point home favorites. None the less, Syracuse is 11-5 ATS this season; 7-4 ATS at home and 3-0 ATS on the road. The Spartans ran their overall record to 14-2 SU with a thrilling 63-60 overtime win over No.19 Wisconsin last Tuesday as 6.5-point road underdogs to move to 9-4 ATS on the year.
A few Mid-Major programs that have provided an excellent return on investment so far are the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders, from the Sun Belt, the Nevada Wolf Pack, out of the Western Athletic, and the Atlantic 10’s Saint Joseph’s Hawks. The Blue Raiders are 15-2 SU on the year and 12-3 ATS. The Wolf Pack are 12-3 SU and the Hawks are 11-5, with both teams coming in at a very profitable 10-2 ATS.
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