Pointspread: Mississippi State
Total Line: OFF
The Mississippi Rebels will be going for the season-series sweep against the in-state rival Mississippi State Bulldogs this Thursday night when these two SEC foes clash at Humphrey Coliseum. The tip-off is set for 7 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN2
Mississippi is just 3-3 straight-up in its last six games, but one of those victories was a 75-68 win over the Bulldogs on Jan.18 as a two-point home underdog. The Rebels are 14-8 SU overall and 10-9-1 against the spread. They are 4-7 SU on the road this season and 5-6 ATS. The total has gone ‘over’ in seven of the 11 games.
Ole Miss is averaging just 66.2 points a game and shooting 42.8 percent from the field, but has played well under the boards with an average of 39.9 rebounds a game, which is the 12th-best total in the nation.
Mississippi State has also stumbled a bit over the past few weeks with a 3-2 SU record in its last five games. Overall, the Bulldogs are 18-5 SU, but just 10-12 ATS and have failed to cover in seven of their last nine games. They are 14-1 SU at home this season, but 5-9 ATS. The total has gone ‘over’ in eight of the 14 games.
Arnett Moultrie and Dee Bost have combined to score an average of 32.8 points a game for the Bulldogs, with Moultrie also leading the team in rebounds with 11.1. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 73.8 points a game and shooting 46.5 percent from the field.
The Rebels are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the SEC. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of their last six games overall.
The Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU win. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of their last five conference games.
The home team in this series is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the total has gone ‘over’ in 11 of the last 17 meetings. Ole Miss is 1-5 ATS in its last six trips to Mississippi State and 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings overall. Stick with the recent trends in this series, as the Bulldogs avenge the earlier defeat with a solid win at home.
The Free Pick: Mississippi State 71 Mississippi 60
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