September 25, 2010

New England Patriots Vs Buffalo Bills NFL Pick

The New England Patriots (1-1) will be playing their second straight game against an AFC East opponent when they host the Buffalo Bills (0-2) on Sunday after suffering a disappointing loss at New York last week.  The Patriots (-14 @ Diamond Sportsbook) could not play much worse in the second half of a 28-14 loss to the Jets last Sunday after leading 14-10 at halftime.

New England is 6-1 straight-up and against the spread in the last seven meetings with Buffalo but will be without third-down back Kevin Faulk, who has been a critical part of the offense over the years.  Faulk will miss the rest of the season with a torn knee ligament.  The UNDER is 3-1 in the last four games between the teams.

The Patriots were outgained 196-80 by the Jets in the second half and turned the ball over three times, including two interceptions by quarterback Tom Brady.  Four of their six losses last year came despite the fact that they led at the break.  In fact, New England and Buffalo were outscored by a total margin of 39-0 after halftime in their games last week.

However, at least we know the Pats are capable of scoring while the Bills rank dead last in points scored and total offense through the first two games.  Buffalo is averaging just 8.5 points and 176 yards of total offense while New England is averaging 26 points and 333.5 yards per game.

The Bills have won only two of eight quarters so far (one quarter in each game).  They outscored the Packers 7-0 in the second quarter after trailing 13-0 in an eventual 34-7 loss at Green Bay and held a 7-5 edge in the fourth quarter of a 15-10 home loss to Miami.

Ryan Fitzpatrick takes over as the starting quarterback for Buffalo after Trent Edwards failed to deliver more than one touchdown pass and two interceptions in two games.   Fitzpatrick has experience facing New England, throwing for 178 yards with a touchdown and an interception in a 17-10 loss last December.  He will look to take advantage of young Patriots cornerbacks Devin McCourty and Darius Butler, who were burned in the second half of each of the first two games.

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