April 25, 2008

New Orleans Hornets at Dallas Mavericks Game 3 Pick

NBA Playoff Betting Preview
New Orleans Hornets at Dallas Mavericks (Hornets lead 2-0)
Friday, 8:05 pm Eastern – ESPN

SBG Global Opening Line: Mavericks  – 5 , Total 195

Chris Paul has led the New Orleans Hornets to two dominating wins over the Dallas Mavericks with the series now moving to Dallas for games three and four.  MVP candidate Paul is averaging 33.5 points per game and also dishing out 13.5 assists per game.  He is the first player in NBA history to have at least 30 points and 10 assists in his first two playoff games.  “It’s been too easy,” Mavericks forward Dirk Nowitzki said, “We’ve got to be a little more proactive on him and see if we can get the ball out of his hands some. If not, just move up on him and make it a little harder on him. We’ll see how that works.” SBG Global reports that early NBA betting has the public taking Mavericks at Home.

Chris Paul doesn’t believe Dallas can do anything to stop him. “There’s only so many different things you can do in basketball,” he said. “Whatever they’re doing, we’ve adjusted to it. We’ve had 82 regular-season games to see what different teams try and that’s what it’s all about, making adjustments.”
The good news for Dallas is that they are a very good home team and New Orleans has not won in Dallas since 1998.  The Mavericks were 34-7 at home this season. “This is a totally different animal that we’re facing, totally different atmosphere and a whole lot more at stake,” Hornets coach Byron Scott said. “So right now, as far as we’re concerned, it’s 0-0 as far as playing them in their arena.”

SBG Global Current Line: Mavericks  – 5.5 , Total 196.5

Here are the NBA betting stats for Friday’s game.  The Hornets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Southwest. The Hornets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Friday games. The Hornets are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog. The Hornets are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog. The Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
The Hornets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.

The Mavericks are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. The Mavericks are 37-17-1 ATS in their last 55 vs. the Southwest. The Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. The Mavericks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the two teams and the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

The Over is 4-0 in the Hornets last 4 overall. The Over is 7-1 in the Hornets last 8 games as a road underdog. The Over is 4-1-1 in the Hornets last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Over is 8-3-1 in the Hornets last 12 Friday games. The Over is 5-2 in the Hornets last 7 vs. the Southwest.

The Over is 5-1 in the Mavericks last 6 vs. the Southwest. The Under is 8-2 in the Mavericks last 10 playoff games as a favorite. The Over is 4-1 in the Mavericks last 5 overall. The Under is 6-2 in the Mavericks last 8 games as a home favorite. The Under is 7-3-1 in the Mavericks last 11 Friday games.
The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Dallas between the two teams.

Mavs need this one bad and will get it at home Mavs -5 4units

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