December 2, 2009

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills

NFL Football Betting Preview
New York Jets (5-6) at Buffalo Bills (4-7)
Thursday December 3rd, 8:20PM Eastern

Betus.com betting line – Jets -3, 36 ½ O/U

Thursday night NFL action takes center stage again this week with the first AFC match-up on Thursday night in recent weeks when the New York Jets travel to take battle with the Buffalo Bills in an AFC East showdown. Buffalo at 4-7 ranks last in the division with the Jets at 3rd with a record of 5-6. In most divisions, the playoff picture would be completely out the window. However with the Patriots treading water at just 7-4 on the season, there is still room for someone to get hot and make a run at the playoffs. In fact, both teams capture respectable wins last week as well. Buffalo blew out Miami 31-14 and the Jets took down the recently struggling Panthers 17-6. The question is who can keep the momentum rolling?

One positive note for the Jets is that they have a pretty manageable schedule outside of Indianapolis remaining on the horizon. A win over the Bills Thursday night will put them right back in the wildcard picture. However, the Bills got the best of the Jets earlier this year in a 16-13 overtime defensive slugfest. In that game, QB Mark Sanchez has the worse game of his short career throwing 5 interceptions without a single touchdown. On the other hand, Sanchez had one of the most accurate performances of the season last week completing 13 of 17 against the Panthers for 154 yards.

Running back Thomas Jones has really picked up the pace over the past 6 ball games. The Buffalo game earlier this year got him over the hump to shake off a sluggish start after posting 210 yards against the Bills. If Jones can do any type of similar damage, then all Sanchez has to do is not thrown interceptions and give Buffalo the short field. The Jets defense will hold their ground and keep Buffalo from posting any huge numbers. However, again ball control will be the difference and not allowing Buffalo any second chances.

On the other side of the field, the Bills will need to do a lot more of the same scenarios they did in the last meeting. They disguised a bunch of defensive zones and blitzes that really confuses Sanchez which forced him to make some bad decisions consistently. They will need a similar defensive effort and get a solid effort from the defensive front. Of course it would definitely help if cornerback Jairus Byrd could come in with an interception or two which should not be surprising if he does considering he leads the NFL with 8 picks on the season.

On offense, Buffalo really does not have any true explosive players. However, WR Terrell Owens has played really well in the last 3 games racking up 378 yards with 2 touchdowns while averaging over 20 yards per catch during this impressive 3 game skid. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick took over starting duties for Trent Edwards over the past few weeks and it is safe to say there has been improvement in the pass offense. Just ask Owens. Fitzpatrick has thrown for 543 yards in the past two contests. If he can just limit the interceptions, Fitzpatrick could be a solid quarterback. The ideal scenario from Buffalo in this game will be to protect Fitzpatrick and allow him to get comfortable. Even in the win over Miami, Fitzpatrick was sacked 6 different times. The more comfortable and less he is knocked around the better the Bills chances will be this Thursday night.

Pick – Jets -3

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