New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction

knicks heat nba predictionNBA Odds: Knicks (even)

The Miami Heat (22-30) travel to New York to play the Knicks (10-43) in a game that will likely be low scoring. The game gets underway at 7:30 pm ET on Friday, Feb. 20 and will air on Sun Sports and MSG.

The Knicks lost to the Magic 89-83 the last time they played. Jason Smith was the team’s high scorer, contributing 25. The Heat, meanwhile, are coming off an ugly 113-93 loss at the hands of the Cavaliers in their last outing. Hassan Whiteside had a solid game, recording his ninth double-double of the season with 17 points and 14 rebounds.

Half-court execution will be at a premium as the Knicks rank 28th in the league in possessions per game (93.3), while the Heat are 30th (91.7). Also, the offense of the Heat seems ready to earn plenty of trips to the line. They rank third in the NBA in free throw attempt rate (30.9), while the Knicks are among the league’s most foul-happy teams (allowing a 29th-ranked mark of 31.6).

The Heat have won both matchups against the Knicks this season, including a 109-95 victory in their last matchup. Chris Bosh was the game’s leading scorer with 32 points.

The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Knicks are looking to improve on their records of 10-43 Straight Up (SU) and 21-30-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 6-27 SU and 13-19-1 ATS versus the Eastern Conference.

On the other side, Miami has a SU record of 22-30 and an ATS record of 23-27-2. Miami has a record of 15-16 SU and 15-15-1 ATS against the East. Miami’s defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, ranking second in the NBA with only 96.6 points allowed per game.

Miami beat New York in their most recent meeting this season, bringing its SU record in the past 10 games to 6-4. Additionally, the Heat lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4. When it comes to field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers, New York held the edge in all three of these categories twice in the last 10 meetings. Miami never did so in those games.

Predictions: SU Winner – MIA, ATS Winner – MIA

Notes

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games.

Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Miami’s last 19 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami’s last 13 games on the road.

Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.

Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York.

The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Miami’s last 20 games when playing New York.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games when playing on the road against New York.

Miami is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against New York.

New York is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami.

While New York scores an average of just 92.5 points per game (ranked 29th), Miami ranks second in points allowed, giving up 96.6 points per game.

While New York scores an average of just 91.9 points per game at home (ranked 30th), Miami ranks second in points allowed on the road, giving up 96.1 points per game.

In its last game, Miami lost by a 20-point margin. New York is 0-9 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Miami has a 1-8 record in blowouts.

In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Miami Heat are a winning 21-10. In games where they score fewer than 100 points, the New York Knicks have an abysmal record of 6-37.

At 1-20, the Miami Heat have a subpar record when their opponents score 100 points or more. The New York Knicks are 4-6 when they hit the century mark.

The Knicks have a defensive rating of 107.5 (ranked 28th), while the Heat rank 20th for their offensive rating of 101.1.

The New York Knicks average a field goal percentage of 43.6% this season. The Miami Heat have a subpar record of 9-24 when opponents have a FG% of 43.6% or greater.

On average, the New York Knicks attempt 20.4 three point field goals per game and the Miami Heat attempt 20.3 per game. In games where they attempt at least 25 threes, both teams have losing records; New York is 1-12 and Miami is 3-5.

The New York Knicks, with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.61, rank 17th in the NBA. The Miami Heat have a lower A/TO (1.49), ranking 22nd.

Both the New York Knicks and the Miami Heat have had their share of rebound struggles this season. The Knicks rank 29th in rebounding (39.8 per game) and the Heat rank 30th (37.8 per game).

The Miami Heat rank 29th in offensive rebounding, while the New York Knicks also rank 29th in defensive rebounds.

Miami is one of the top teams in forced turnovers, with opponents averaging a TOV% of 14.9% (ranked 10th). New York has an underachieving record of 3-18 SU this season when its TOV% reaches 14.9% or greater.

Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.